NEW YORK
RANGERSNYR
37-36-7 | Road
5
FLORIDA
PANTHERSFLA
47-29-4 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jonathan Quick
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Dmitry Kulikov
#7 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Quick | None-None | 3.00 | 0.900 | -- |
| Dmitry Kulikov | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.00
GAA
--
0.900
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
100%
PANTHERS
0%
RANGERS
--
PANTHERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.1
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (Florida)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around FLA -1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)
NYR By 1 goal
11.4%
NYR By 2-3 goals
8.5%
FLA By 1 goal
19.7%
FLA By 2-3 goals
30.8%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
2.52
NEW YORK
Florida
3.64
FLORIDA
Simulated Score
New York
3
NEW YORK
Florida
2
FLORIDA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Panthers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rangers
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Panthers (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.1
D
Sim
Rangers (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 13, 2026
NYR @ FLA
2 - 3
Mar 29, 2026
FLA @ NYR
1 - 3
Jan 2, 2026
NYR @ FLA
5 - 1
Apr 14, 2025
NYR @ FLA
5 - 3
Dec 30, 2024
NYR @ FLA
3 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+71.7% more
Florida: 36.9
vs
New York: 21.5
Faceoff % (L5)
+6.3%
Florida: 56.3%
vs
New York: 50.0%
Takeaways (L5)
+27.8% more
New York: 7.7
vs
Florida: 5.6
Power Play % (L5)
+16.0%
New York: 42.5%
vs
Florida: 26.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYR Score
2.5
5
FLA Score
3.6
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
11.8 / 11.9
17.0 / 16.0
Faceoff %
56.3 / 50.0
49.3 / 50.7
Hits
36.9 / 21.5
31.0 / 9.0
Power Play %
26.5 / 42.5
50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
33.4 / 31.4
30.0 / 25.0
Takeaways
5.6 / 7.7
7.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FLA
NYR
FLA
NYR
ML
0%
0-4
80%
4-1
0%
0-4
40%
2-3
ATS
25%
1-3
80%
4-1
50%
2-2
60%
3-2
TTL
25%
1-3
60%
3-2
0%
0-4
60%
3-2
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