HOUSTON
ASTROSHOU
7-8 | Road
3
ST. LOUIS
CARDINALSSTL
7-8 | Home
8
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Bennett Sousa
#62 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Pedro Pages
#43 | Catcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bennett Sousa | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 2.0 | 3 |
| Pedro Pages | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
0.00
ERA
--
--
WHIP
--
2.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
3
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
ASTROS
0%
CARDINALS
100%
ASTROS
--
CARDINALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.4
HOUSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.4 points (Houston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around HOU -1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOU)
HOU By 1-2 runs
19.7%
HOU By 3-4 runs
17.3%
STL By 1-2 runs
15.2%
STL By 3-4 runs
9.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Houston
5.69
HOUSTON
St. Louis
4.28
ST. LOUIS
Simulated Score
Houston
5
HOUSTON
St. Louis
3
ST. LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Astros
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Astros
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Astros (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.4
D
Sim
Astros (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 19, 2026
STL @ HOU
7 - 5
Apr 18, 2026
STL @ HOU
7 - 5
Apr 17, 2026
STL @ HOU
9 - 4
Apr 16, 2025
HOU @ STL
1 - 4
Apr 15, 2025
HOU @ STL
2 - 0
Season Statistics Comparison
Houston
HOU
vs
St. Louis
STL
2
Games Played
▲
162
3.00
Runs / Game
▲
4.44
.169
Avg (AVG)
▲
.239
.229
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.313
.354
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.378
.582
OPS
▲
.691
4
Home Runs
▲
167
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5)
+30.4% more
Houston: 12.2
vs
St. Louis: 8.5
Home Runs (L5)
+23.0% more
Houston: 1.1
vs
St. Louis: 0.9
Home Runs (Season)
+4075.0% more
St. Louis: 167.0
vs
Houston: 4.0
Runs per Game (Season)
+48.0% more
St. Louis: 4.4
vs
Houston: 3.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HOU Score
5.7
3
STL Score
4.3
8
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.3 / 0.1
0.0 / 2.0
Hits
9.2 / 7.6
14.0 / 7.0
Home Runs
0.9 / 1.1
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
8.5 / 12.2
5.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
14.4 / 11.8
23.0 / 11.0
Walks
2.7 / 2.0
2.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HOU
Advantage
81-83-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
STL
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HOU
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
STL
Advantage
(53.7%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
HOU
81-74-9
O: 52.3% / U: 47.7%
Total +/-: +0.7
STL
74-80-8
O: 48.1% / U: 51.9%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STL
HOU
STL
HOU
ML
53%
85-74
50%
81-82
52%
84-77
47%
77-87
ATS
56%
89-70
56%
91-72
53%
85-76
55%
90-74
TTL
46%
68-81-10
45%
70-84-9
50%
76-75-10
45%
69-86-9
Contextual Game News
Cardinals Eye Another Dustin May-Style Signing to Bolster Rotati…
Yankees and Braves Urged to Cut Ties with Underperforming Stars …
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Shrugs Off Yankee Stadium Boos: 'It Didn't Hur…
Yankees' Offseason Blueprint: Securing Bednar and Blackburn Key …
Yankees' Season Ends in Sweep as Boone Faces Fan Fury Over 'Brok…