ORLANDO
MAGICORL
41-40 | Road
105
ATLANTA
HAWKSATL
39-42 | Home
117
AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
100%
HAWKS
0%
MAGIC
--
HAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
234.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
ATLANTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Atlanta)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ATL -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATL)
ORL By 1-7 points
24.9%
ORL By 8-14 points
14.7%
ATL By 1-7 points
25.7%
ATL By 8-14 points
15.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Orlando
116.86
ORLANDO
Atlanta
117.25
ATLANTA
Simulated Score
Orlando
118
ORLANDO
Atlanta
122
ATLANTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -0.4
D
Sim
Hawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 234.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 240.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 1, 2026
ATL @ ORL
130 - 101
Mar 16, 2026
ORL @ ATL
112 - 124
Nov 4, 2025
ORL @ ATL
112 - 127
Oct 24, 2025
ATL @ ORL
111 - 107
Apr 15, 2025
ATL @ ORL
95 - 120
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+15.9% more
Atlanta: 30.8
vs
Orlando: 26.6
Rebounding (L5)
+13.5% more
Atlanta: 47.4
vs
Orlando: 41.8
Blocks (L5)
+41.8% more
Orlando: 7.0
vs
Atlanta: 4.1
Steals (L5)
+11.4% more
Orlando: 10.3
vs
Atlanta: 9.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ORL Score
116.9
105
ATL Score
117.3
117
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.0 / 37.9
42.5 / 42.9
Assists
30.8 / 26.6
32.0 / 25.0
Blocks
4.1 / 7.0
2.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
50.3 / 49.2
53.4 / 45.5
Free Throw %
76.2 / 81.2
60.0 / 66.7
Rebounding
47.4 / 41.8
44.0 / 43.0
Steals
9.1 / 10.3
8.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
15.0 / 14.9
16.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
ATL
Advantage
48-40-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
ATL
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
ATL
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATL
ORL
ATL
ORL
ML
50%
52-52
61%
65-42
55%
48-40
56%
51-40
ATS
53%
55-48-1
64%
68-38-1
55%
48-40
56%
51-40
TTL
53%
55-48-1
57%
61-46
100%
88-0
100%
91-0
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