CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
38-43 | Road
122
PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
24-57 | Home
102
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
0%
76ERS
100%
BULLS
--
76ERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
225.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.7
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.7 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CHI -3.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)
CHI By 1-7 points
27.4%
CHI By 8-14 points
21.1%
PHI By 1-7 points
20.6%
PHI By 8-14 points
9.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
114.76
CHICAGO
Philadelphia
111.1
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Chicago
112
CHICAGO
Philadelphia
118
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bulls
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
76ers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bulls (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.7
D
Sim
76ers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 225.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 25, 2026
CHI @ PHI
137 - 157
Dec 26, 2025
PHI @ CHI
102 - 109
Nov 4, 2025
PHI @ CHI
111 - 113
Apr 13, 2025
CHI @ PHI
122 - 102
Feb 24, 2025
CHI @ PHI
142 - 110
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+18.4% more
Chicago: 30.4
vs
Philadelphia: 24.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+14.8%
Chicago: 89.0%
vs
Philadelphia: 74.2%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.4%
Chicago: 49.0%
vs
Philadelphia: 44.6%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.8%
Chicago: 36.2%
vs
Philadelphia: 32.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
114.8
122
PHI Score
111.1
102
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.4 / 36.2
27.3 / 32.5
Assists
24.8 / 30.4
20.0 / 29.0
Blocks
5.9 / 5.5
6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
44.6 / 49.0
38.3 / 45.6
Free Throw %
74.2 / 89.0
85.7 / 75.0
Rebounding
45.4 / 49.2
48.0 / 59.0
Steals
7.8 / 7.7
7.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
15.0 / 15.3
15.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
CHI
PHI
CHI
ML
63%
69-40
56%
54-42
48%
45-48
57%
46-35
ATS
65%
71-38
65%
62-33-1
48%
45-48
57%
46-35
TTL
55%
60-49
58%
56-40
100%
93-0
100%
81-0
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