CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
19-62 | Road
86
BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
60-21 | Home
93
AI Model Win Probability
HORNETS
100%
CELTICS
0%
HORNETS
--
CELTICS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
216.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BOS -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
CHA By 1-7 points
1.7%
CHA By 8-14 points
0.3%
BOS By 1-7 points
8.0%
BOS By 8-14 points
18.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Charlotte
98.34
CHARLOTTE
Boston
118.37
BOSTON
Simulated Score
Charlotte
108
CHARLOTTE
Boston
115
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Celtics
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Celtics
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Celtics (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim
Celtics (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 216.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 7, 2026
CHA @ BOS
102 - 113
Mar 29, 2026
BOS @ CHA
114 - 99
Mar 4, 2026
CHA @ BOS
118 - 89
Apr 13, 2025
CHA @ BOS
86 - 93
Apr 11, 2025
CHA @ BOS
94 - 130
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+68.0% more
Boston: 5.8
vs
Charlotte: 3.4
Assists (L5)
+22.0% more
Boston: 28.8
vs
Charlotte: 23.6
Steals (L5)
+21.3% more
Boston: 6.6
vs
Charlotte: 5.4
Rebounding (L5)
+10.2% more
Boston: 48.1
vs
Charlotte: 43.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHA Score
98.3
86
BOS Score
118.4
93
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.0 / 32.8
31.1 / 28.2
Assists
28.8 / 23.6
22.0 / 23.0
Blocks
5.8 / 3.4
6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
46.9 / 43.1
38.9 / 37.6
Free Throw %
78.6 / 74.2
69.2 / 61.1
Rebounding
48.1 / 43.7
49.0 / 51.0
Steals
6.6 / 5.4
12.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
12.5 / 16.6
13.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHA
45-39-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
BOS
Advantage
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHA
Advantage
50-34-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
BOS
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9%
Total +/-: -3.4
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
CHA
BOS
CHA
ML
57%
61-46
61%
60-39
53%
47-41
48%
40-44
ATS
59%
61-43-3
60%
59-40
53%
47-41
48%
40-44
TTL
56%
60-47
58%
57-42
100%
88-0
100%
84-0
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