BOSTON
BRUINSBOS
32-39-9 | Road
4
PITTSBURGH
PENGUINSPIT
33-35-12 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Nikita Zadorov
#91 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Kris Letang
#58 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikita Zadorov | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Kris Letang | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
--
--
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
100%
PENGUINS
0%
BRUINS
--
PENGUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
PITTSBURGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Pittsburgh)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around PIT -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PIT)
BOS By 1 goal
17.2%
BOS By 2-3 goals
17.9%
PIT By 1 goal
17.8%
PIT By 2-3 goals
19.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
2.9
BOSTON
Pittsburgh
2.97
PITTSBURGH
Simulated Score
Boston
3
BOSTON
Pittsburgh
2
PITTSBURGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Penguins
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bruins
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Penguins (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.1
D
Sim
Bruins (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 8, 2026
BOS @ PIT
4 - 5
Mar 3, 2026
PIT @ BOS
1 - 2
Jan 11, 2026
PIT @ BOS
0 - 1
Apr 13, 2025
BOS @ PIT
4 - 1
Mar 1, 2025
BOS @ PIT
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+67.3% more
Pittsburgh: 4.4
vs
Boston: 2.6
Power Play % (L5)
+22.6%
Pittsburgh: 42.2%
vs
Boston: 19.6%
Hits (L5)
+22.6% more
Boston: 26.4
vs
Pittsburgh: 20.5
Blocked Shots (L5)
+12.7% more
Boston: 13.1
vs
Pittsburgh: 11.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
2.9
4
PIT Score
3.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
11.4 / 13.1
11.0 / 9.0
Faceoff %
52.9 / 53.9
49.0 / 51.0
Hits
20.5 / 26.4
27.0 / 15.0
Power Play %
42.2 / 19.6
33.3 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
27.7 / 26.3
24.0 / 32.0
Takeaways
4.4 / 2.6
6.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PIT
BOS
PIT
BOS
ML
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
ATS
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
TTL
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
0%
0-4
Contextual Game News
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