COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
48-29-4 | Road
4
ANAHEIM
DUCKSANA
35-36-8 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Scott Wedgewood
#41 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Lukas Dostal
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Wedgewood | None-None | 2.01 | 0.905 | -- |
| Lukas Dostal | None-None | 3.02 | 0.875 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.01 Ldr
GAA
3.02
0.905 Ldr
Save %
0.875
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
AVALANCHE
0%
DUCKS
100%
AVALANCHE
--
DUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around COL -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)
COL By 1 goal
19.2%
COL By 2-3 goals
24.5%
ANA By 1 goal
14.8%
ANA By 2-3 goals
13.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
2.72
COLORADO
Anaheim
2.19
ANAHEIM
Simulated Score
Colorado
4
COLORADO
Anaheim
2
ANAHEIM
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Avalanche
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.5
D
Sim
Avalanche (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 3, 2026
COL @ ANA
5 - 1
Jan 21, 2026
ANA @ COL
2 - 1
Nov 11, 2025
ANA @ COL
1 - 4
Apr 13, 2025
COL @ ANA
4 - 2
Dec 20, 2024
COL @ ANA
4 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+36.9% more
Colorado: 5.9
vs
Anaheim: 3.7
Blocked Shots (L5)
+22.6% more
Colorado: 18.1
vs
Anaheim: 14.0
Power Play % (L5)
+18.5%
Colorado: 20.5%
vs
Anaheim: 2.0%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+16.5% more
Colorado: 31.1
vs
Anaheim: 25.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
2.7
4
ANA Score
2.2
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.0 / 18.1
15.0 / 18.0
Faceoff %
44.5 / 47.9
51.1 / 48.9
Hits
22.7 / 21.6
12.0 / 12.0
Power Play %
2.0 / 20.5
0.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
25.9 / 31.1
21.0 / 25.0
Takeaways
3.7 / 5.9
9.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ANA
COL
ANA
COL
ML
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
ATS
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
67%
2-1
Contextual Game News
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