NEW YORK
RANGERSNYR
37-35-7 | Road
3
CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
46-27-5 | Home
7
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Igor Shesterkin
#31 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Pyotr Kochetkov
#52 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Igor Shesterkin | None-None | 5.14 | 0.808 | -- |
| Pyotr Kochetkov | None-None | 3.00 | 0.903 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
5.14
GAA
Ldr 3.00
0.808
Save %
Ldr 0.903
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
100%
HURRICANES
0%
RANGERS
--
HURRICANES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CAR -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)
NYR By 1 goal
13.9%
NYR By 2-3 goals
11.9%
CAR By 1 goal
19.5%
CAR By 2-3 goals
26.3%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
3.32
NEW YORK
Carolina
4.01
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
New York
2
NEW YORK
Carolina
3
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hurricanes
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.7
D
Sim
Hurricanes (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 5, 2026
CAR @ NYR
2 - 0
Dec 29, 2025
NYR @ CAR
2 - 3
Nov 26, 2025
NYR @ CAR
4 - 2
Nov 4, 2025
CAR @ NYR
3 - 0
Apr 12, 2025
NYR @ CAR
3 - 7
Key Model Drivers
Faceoff % (L5)
+8.0%
Carolina: 58.0%
vs
New York: 50.0%
Hits (L5)
+44.2% more
New York: 20.7
vs
Carolina: 11.6
Takeaways (L5)
+38.0% more
New York: 6.6
vs
Carolina: 4.1
Power Play % (L5)
+33.0%
New York: 38.7%
vs
Carolina: 5.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYR Score
3.3
3
CAR Score
4.0
7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
10.6 / 12.9
13.0 / 10.0
Faceoff %
58.0 / 50.0
50.0 / 50.0
Hits
11.6 / 20.7
16.0 / 23.0
Power Play %
5.8 / 38.7
0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
33.9 / 31.6
28.0 / 31.0
Takeaways
4.1 / 6.6
11.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
NYR
CAR
NYR
ML
80%
4-1
80%
4-1
40%
2-3
40%
2-3
ATS
60%
3-2
80%
4-1
80%
4-1
60%
3-2
TTL
0%
0-5
60%
3-2
20%
1-4
60%
3-2
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