LOS ANGELES
ANGELSLAA
8-5 | Road
4
HOUSTON
ASTROSHOU
6-7 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Ryan Johnson
#32 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Bennett Sousa
#62 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Johnson | None-None | 8.44 | -- | 0.1 | 1 |
| Bennett Sousa | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
8.44
ERA
Ldr 0.00
--
WHIP
--
0.1
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 1.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
100%
ASTROS
0%
ANGELS
--
ASTROS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.5
HOUSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.5 points (Houston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around HOU -1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOU)
LAA By 1-2 runs
14.9%
LAA By 3-4 runs
9.1%
HOU By 1-2 runs
19.7%
HOU By 3-4 runs
17.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
3.33
LOS ANGELES
Houston
4.85
HOUSTON
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
4
LOS ANGELES
Houston
5
HOUSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Astros
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Astros
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Astros (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.5
D
Sim
Astros (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 20, 2026
LAA @ HOU
18 - 3
Aug 19, 2026
LAA @ HOU
2 - 3
Aug 18, 2026
LAA @ HOU
3 - 1
Jul 29, 2026
HOU @ LAA
7 - 4
Jul 28, 2026
HOU @ LAA
3 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAA
vs
Houston
HOU
162
▲
Games Played
2
4.04
▲
Runs / Game
3.00
.234
▲
Avg (AVG)
.169
.310
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.229
.369
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.354
.679
▲
OPS
.582
154
▲
Home Runs
4
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5)
+72.7% more
Houston: 10.4
vs
Los Angeles: 6.0
Hits (L5)
+20.0% more
Houston: 11.1
vs
Los Angeles: 9.3
Home Runs (Season)
+97.4% more
Los Angeles: 154.0
vs
Houston: 4.0
Errors (L5)
+58.0% more
Los Angeles: 0.7
vs
Houston: 0.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAA Score
3.3
4
HOU Score
4.9
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.2 / 0.7
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
11.1 / 9.3
3.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
1.3 / 2.8
1.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
10.4 / 6.0
10.0 / 10.0
Total Bases
16.2 / 19.7
7.0 / 15.0
Walks
3.4 / 5.1
2.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0
(38.3%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
HOU
Advantage
81-83-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
HOU
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
HOU
81-74-9
O: 52.3% / U: 47.7%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOU
LAA
HOU
LAA
ML
50%
81-82
59%
96-66
47%
77-87
55%
89-73
ATS
56%
91-72
60%
97-65
55%
90-74
51%
82-80
TTL
45%
70-84-9
53%
83-74-5
45%
69-86-9
52%
82-75-5
Contextual Game News
Yankees and Braves Urged to Cut Ties with Underperforming Stars …
Jeimer Candelario Opts for Free Agency After Brief Angels Stint
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Shrugs Off Yankee Stadium Boos: 'It Didn't Hur…
Yankees' Offseason Blueprint: Securing Bednar and Blackburn Key …
Brewers vs. Dodgers NLCS Tickets: Prices, Schedule, and How to A…