ATLANTA
HAWKSATL
38-42 | Road
124
PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
24-56 | Home
110
AI Model Win Probability
HAWKS
0%
76ERS
100%
HAWKS
--
76ERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
229.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.8
ATLANTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.8 points (Atlanta)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ATL -5.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATL)
ATL By 1-7 points
26.9%
ATL By 8-14 points
24.0%
PHI By 1-7 points
17.3%
PHI By 8-14 points
7.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Atlanta
117.56
ATLANTA
Philadelphia
111.76
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Atlanta
118
ATLANTA
Philadelphia
124
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
76ers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Hawks (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.8
D
Sim
76ers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 229.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 242.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
PHI @ ATL
116 - 125
Feb 19, 2026
ATL @ PHI
117 - 107
Dec 14, 2025
PHI @ ATL
117 - 120
Nov 30, 2025
ATL @ PHI
142 - 134
Apr 11, 2025
ATL @ PHI
124 - 110
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+29.6% more
Atlanta: 32.2
vs
Philadelphia: 22.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.9%
Atlanta: 39.4%
vs
Philadelphia: 31.4%
Field Goal % (L5)
+6.7%
Atlanta: 51.5%
vs
Philadelphia: 44.7%
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.5%
Atlanta: 76.8%
vs
Philadelphia: 71.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATL Score
117.6
124
PHI Score
111.8
110
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.4 / 39.4
34.3 / 38.1
Assists
22.7 / 32.2
29.0 / 28.0
Blocks
5.8 / 3.6
6.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
44.7 / 51.5
44.3 / 47.9
Free Throw %
71.3 / 76.8
80.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
45.6 / 44.6
45.0 / 53.0
Steals
8.7 / 9.2
6.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
14.9 / 15.0
15.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATL
Advantage
48-40-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATL
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
ATL
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.1
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
ATL
PHI
ATL
ML
63%
69-40
50%
52-52
48%
45-48
55%
48-40
ATS
65%
71-38
53%
55-48-1
48%
45-48
55%
48-40
TTL
55%
60-49
53%
55-48-1
100%
93-0
100%
88-0
Contextual Game News
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
Bill Self's Revamped Kansas Roster Built for Another National Ti…
Boston Celtics' Young Wings Face Huge Opportunity After Jaylen B…
Phillies' 2027 Forecast: Four Farmhands Ready to Step Up
Mike Breen Issues Apology After LeBron James Shoots Down Embiid …