LA
CLIPPERSLAC
48-32 | Road
101
SACRAMENTO
KINGSSAC
39-41 | Home
100
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
0%
KINGS
100%
CLIPPERS
--
KINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
233.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.9
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.9 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LAC -4.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
LAC By 1-7 points
27.3%
LAC By 8-14 points
22.9%
SAC By 1-7 points
18.7%
SAC By 8-14 points
8.1%
AI Model Projected Score
LA
119
LA
Sacramento
114.09
SACRAMENTO
Simulated Score
LA
118
LA
Sacramento
115
SACRAMENTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Clippers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Clippers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Clippers (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.9
D
Sim
Clippers (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 233.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 233.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 5, 2026
LAC @ SAC
138 - 109
Mar 14, 2026
SAC @ LAC
118 - 109
Feb 6, 2026
LAC @ SAC
114 - 111
Dec 30, 2025
SAC @ LAC
90 - 131
Oct 15, 2025
LAC @ SAC
109 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+42.6% more
LA: 9.1
vs
Sacramento: 5.3
Assists (L5)
+19.5% more
LA: 29.4
vs
Sacramento: 23.7
Turnovers (L5)
+11.7% more
LA: 12.7
vs
Sacramento: 11.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.8%
LA: 85.3%
vs
Sacramento: 80.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAC Score
119.0
101
SAC Score
114.1
100
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
41.1 / 45.7
32.3 / 33.3
Assists
23.7 / 29.4
23.0 / 19.0
Blocks
4.0 / 2.8
1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
48.9 / 52.3
43.5 / 51.3
Free Throw %
80.5 / 85.3
94.1 / 77.8
Rebounding
43.4 / 44.9
43.0 / 37.0
Steals
5.3 / 9.1
5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
11.3 / 12.7
11.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
SAC
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
SAC
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SAC
LAC
SAC
LAC
ML
55%
55-45
60%
59-40
61%
50-32
55%
45-37
ATS
54%
52-45-3
66%
65-33-1
61%
50-32
55%
45-37
TTL
58%
57-42-1
59%
58-40-1
100%
82-0
100%
82-0
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