MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
43-29-7 | Road
2
CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
37-27-14 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Filip Gustavsson
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Dustin Wolf
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Gustavsson | None-None | 5.08 | 0.862 | -- |
| Dustin Wolf | None-None | 2.00 | 0.889 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
5.08
GAA
Ldr 2.00
0.862
Save %
Ldr 0.889
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
WILD
100%
FLAMES
0%
WILD
--
FLAMES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
CALGARY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Calgary)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CGY -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CGY)
MIN By 1 goal
17.1%
MIN By 2-3 goals
17.8%
CGY By 1 goal
17.8%
CGY By 2-3 goals
19.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
2.32
MINNESOTA
Calgary
2.4
CALGARY
Simulated Score
Minnesota
3
MINNESOTA
Calgary
2
CALGARY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Flames
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wild
Loss
50% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Flames (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.1
D
Sim
Wild (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 29, 2026
CGY @ MIN
1 - 4
Dec 4, 2025
MIN @ CGY
1 - 4
Nov 9, 2025
CGY @ MIN
0 - 2
Apr 11, 2025
MIN @ CGY
2 - 4
Jan 25, 2025
CGY @ MIN
5 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Faceoff % (L5)
+5.9%
Calgary: 51.1%
vs
Minnesota: 45.2%
Takeaways (L5)
+23.9% more
Minnesota: 5.6
vs
Calgary: 4.3
Blocked Shots (L5)
+12.5% more
Minnesota: 16.4
vs
Calgary: 14.3
Power Play % (L5)
+10.6%
Minnesota: 37.4%
vs
Calgary: 26.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
2.3
2
CGY Score
2.4
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.3 / 16.4
24.0 / 18.0
Faceoff %
51.1 / 45.2
52.6 / 47.4
Hits
23.3 / 23.7
26.0 / 25.0
Power Play %
26.8 / 37.4
50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
33.3 / 35.4
32.0 / 18.0
Takeaways
4.3 / 5.6
5.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CGY
MIN
CGY
MIN
ML
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
ATS
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
67%
2-1
100%
3-0
0%
0-3
67%
2-1
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