ATLANTA
HAWKSATL
37-42 | Road
133
BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
26-53 | Home
109
AI Model Win Probability
HAWKS
100%
NETS
0%
HAWKS
--
NETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
222.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.5
BROOKLYN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.5 points (Brooklyn)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BKN -4.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BKN)
ATL By 1-7 points
19.3%
ATL By 8-14 points
8.6%
BKN By 1-7 points
27.3%
BKN By 8-14 points
22.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Atlanta
108.99
ATLANTA
Brooklyn
113.52
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
Atlanta
118
ATLANTA
Brooklyn
124
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Nets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nets
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Nets (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.5
D
Sim
Nets (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 222.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 242.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 3, 2026
ATL @ BKN
141 - 107
Mar 12, 2026
BKN @ ATL
97 - 108
Feb 22, 2026
BKN @ ATL
104 - 115
Oct 29, 2025
ATL @ BKN
117 - 112
Apr 10, 2025
ATL @ BKN
133 - 109
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+8.4% more
Brooklyn: 16.3
vs
Atlanta: 15.0
Blocks (L5)
+18.5% more
Atlanta: 4.9
vs
Brooklyn: 4.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.8%
Atlanta: 38.2%
vs
Brooklyn: 35.4%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.8%
Atlanta: 48.6%
vs
Brooklyn: 45.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATL Score
109.0
133
BKN Score
113.5
109
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.4 / 38.2
42.3 / 41.7
Assists
28.0 / 30.3
31.0 / 36.0
Blocks
4.0 / 4.9
2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
45.9 / 48.6
40.0 / 57.1
Free Throw %
79.7 / 81.9
68.2 / 66.7
Rebounding
41.4 / 41.4
41.0 / 51.0
Steals
8.9 / 8.3
8.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
16.3 / 15.0
19.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATL
Advantage
48-40-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATL
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
BKN
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
ATL
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.1
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
ATL
BKN
ATL
ML
53%
50-45
50%
52-52
59%
48-34
55%
48-40
ATS
52%
48-44-3
53%
55-48-1
59%
48-34
55%
48-40
TTL
57%
54-41
53%
55-48-1
100%
82-0
100%
88-0
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