CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
46-27-4 | Road
4
WASHINGTON
CAPITALSWSH
49-19-9 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Sean Walker
#26 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Charlie Lindgren
#79 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Walker | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Charlie Lindgren | None-None | 3.69 | 0.882 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
3.69
--
Save %
0.882
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
100%
CAPITALS
0%
HURRICANES
--
CAPITALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Washington)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around WSH -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSH)
CAR By 1 goal
16.9%
CAR By 2-3 goals
17.3%
WSH By 1 goal
18.0%
WSH By 2-3 goals
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Carolina
2.88
CAROLINA
Washington
3.01
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
Carolina
4
CAROLINA
Washington
3
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Capitals
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hurricanes
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Capitals (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.1
D
Sim
Hurricanes (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 2, 2026
WSH @ CAR
5 - 2
Jan 31, 2026
CAR @ WSH
3 - 4
Dec 11, 2025
CAR @ WSH
3 - 2
Nov 11, 2025
WSH @ CAR
4 - 1
May 15, 2025
CAR @ WSH
3 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+85.5% more
Washington: 21.0
vs
Carolina: 11.3
Blocked Shots (L5)
+56.3% more
Washington: 15.5
vs
Carolina: 9.9
Power Play % (L5)
+34.8%
Washington: 43.5%
vs
Carolina: 8.6%
Takeaways (L5)
+28.7% more
Washington: 6.6
vs
Carolina: 5.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CAR Score
2.9
4
WSH Score
3.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.5 / 9.9
21.0 / 12.0
Faceoff %
49.9 / 54.5
35.1 / 64.9
Hits
21.0 / 11.3
31.0 / 12.0
Power Play %
43.5 / 8.6
66.7 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
28.0 / 33.9
28.0 / 34.0
Takeaways
6.6 / 5.1
6.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
CAR
WSH
CAR
ML
100%
3-0
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
ATS
100%
3-0
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
100%
4-0
TTL
33%
1-2
0%
0-4
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
Contextual Game News
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