NEW YORK
RANGERSNYR
36-35-7 | Road
9
NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
34-32-11 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Igor Shesterkin
#31 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Tristan Lennox
#35 | G| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Igor Shesterkin | None-None | 2.00 | 0.957 | -- |
| Tristan Lennox | None-None | 12.71 | 0.500 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.00 Ldr
GAA
12.71
0.957 Ldr
Save %
0.500
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
0%
ISLANDERS
100%
RANGERS
--
ISLANDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.1
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around NYR -1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYR)
NYR By 1 goal
19.7%
NYR By 2-3 goals
30.4%
NYI By 1 goal
11.6%
NYI By 2-3 goals
8.8%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
3.53
NEW YORK
New York
2.45
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
New York
3
NEW YORK
New York
2
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rangers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rangers
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rangers (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.1
D
Sim
Rangers (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 6, 2026
NYI @ NYR
2 - 5
Jan 29, 2026
NYI @ NYR
2 - 1
Jan 28, 2026
NYR @ NYI
2 - 5
Dec 27, 2025
NYR @ NYI
0 - 2
Nov 8, 2025
NYI @ NYR
5 - 0
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+21.6% more
New York: 5.4
vs
New York: 4.2
Shots on Goal (L5)
+18.9% more
New York: 31.4
vs
New York: 25.4
Blocked Shots (L5)
+44.2% more
New York: 16.3
vs
New York: 11.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYR Score
3.5
9
NYI Score
2.5
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.3 / 11.3
16.0 / 16.0
Faceoff %
57.7 / 56.3
62.5 / 37.5
Hits
23.8 / 24.1
23.0 / 14.0
Power Play %
9.1 / 8.1
50.0 / 100.0
Shots on Goal
25.4 / 31.4
46.0 / 32.0
Takeaways
4.2 / 5.4
7.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYI
NYR
NYI
NYR
ML
67%
2-1
80%
4-1
67%
2-1
40%
2-3
ATS
33%
1-2
80%
4-1
33%
1-2
60%
3-2
TTL
100%
2-0-1
60%
3-2
100%
2-0-1
60%
3-2
Contextual Game News
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