WINNIPEG
JETSWPG
53-21-4 | Road
4
DALLAS
STARSDAL
50-22-6 | Home
0
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Connor Hellebuyck
#37 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jake Oettinger
#29 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Hellebuyck | None-None | 0.00 | 1.000 | 1 |
| Jake Oettinger | None-None | 4.00 | 0.886 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
0.00 Ldr
GAA
4.00
1.000 Ldr
Save %
0.886
1 Ldr
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
JETS
0%
STARS
100%
JETS
--
STARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
WINNIPEG
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Winnipeg)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around WPG -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WPG)
WPG By 1 goal
18.3%
WPG By 2-3 goals
20.8%
DAL By 1 goal
16.6%
DAL By 2-3 goals
16.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Winnipeg
3.11
WINNIPEG
Dallas
2.91
DALLAS
Simulated Score
Winnipeg
3
WINNIPEG
Dallas
2
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Jets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jets
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Jets (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.2
D
Sim
Jets (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 2, 2026
WPG @ DAL
0 - 3
Feb 2, 2026
WPG @ DAL
3 - 4
Dec 9, 2025
DAL @ WPG
4 - 3
Oct 9, 2025
DAL @ WPG
5 - 4
May 17, 2025
WPG @ DAL
1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+49.6% more
Winnipeg: 28.0
vs
Dallas: 14.1
Power Play % (L5)
+17.4%
Dallas: 35.6%
vs
Winnipeg: 18.2%
Faceoff % (L5)
+7.0%
Dallas: 56.2%
vs
Winnipeg: 49.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WPG Score
3.1
4
DAL Score
2.9
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.8 / 15.8
10.0 / 15.0
Faceoff %
56.2 / 49.2
42.6 / 57.4
Hits
14.1 / 28.0
27.0 / 44.0
Power Play %
3562.0 / 1824.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
26.1 / 26.2
25.0 / 35.0
Takeaways
3.8 / 4.1
4.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
WPG
DAL
WPG
ML
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
ATS
0%
0-3
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
100%
4-0
TTL
100%
3-0
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
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