HOUSTON
ROCKETSHOU
52-27 | Road
117
LA
CLIPPERSLAC
47-32 | Home
134
AI Model Win Probability
ROCKETS
0%
CLIPPERS
100%
ROCKETS
--
CLIPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
243.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.7
HOUSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.7 points (Houston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around HOU -5.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOU)
HOU By 1-7 points
27.0%
HOU By 8-14 points
23.9%
LAC By 1-7 points
17.5%
LAC By 8-14 points
7.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Houston
124.73
HOUSTON
LA
119.05
LA
Simulated Score
Houston
118
HOUSTON
LA
124
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Rockets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Clippers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Rockets (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.7
D
Sim
Clippers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 243.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 242.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 11, 2026
LAC @ HOU
105 - 102
Feb 10, 2026
LAC @ HOU
95 - 102
Dec 23, 2025
HOU @ LAC
108 - 128
Dec 11, 2025
LAC @ HOU
113 - 115
Apr 9, 2025
HOU @ LAC
117 - 134
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+52.5% more
Houston: 5.7
vs
LA: 2.7
Rebounding (L5)
+9.9% more
Houston: 50.9
vs
LA: 45.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+14.4%
LA: 78.0%
vs
Houston: 63.6%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.1%
LA: 42.8%
vs
Houston: 38.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HOU Score
124.7
117
LAC Score
119.1
134
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
42.8 / 38.7
51.4 / 50.0
Assists
27.6 / 26.4
33.0 / 24.0
Blocks
2.7 / 5.7
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
51.8 / 48.9
53.3 / 51.1
Free Throw %
78.0 / 63.6
100.0 / 70.0
Rebounding
45.9 / 50.9
43.0 / 36.0
Steals
8.7 / 9.1
10.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
13.1 / 13.9
12.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HOU
Advantage
54-34-0
(61.4%)
Margin: 4.7
ATS +/-: -1.5
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HOU
38-50-0
(43.2%)
Margin: 4.7
ATS +/-: -1.5
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
HOU
41-46-1
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9%
Total +/-: -0.3
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
HOU
LAC
HOU
ML
60%
59-40
61%
69-44
55%
45-37
59%
51-35
ATS
66%
65-33-1
62%
70-43
55%
45-37
59%
51-35
TTL
59%
58-40-1
51%
58-55
100%
82-0
100%
86-0
Contextual Game News
Cooper Flagg and Mavericks Face Media at NBA China Games in Macao
Matt Barnes: Clippers Are Cursed, Urges Steve Ballmer to Rebrand
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
Kyrie Irving Set for Mavericks Return in China After 19-Month AC…
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Declares Himself NBA's Best Player, Shru…