Home / NBA Projections NBA / Bulls @ Cavaliers CHI @ CLE

CHICAGO

BULLSCHI

36-42  |  Road

113
FINAL
Tue, Apr 8 • 7:00 PM ET
Rocket Arena
View Odds Details →

CLEVELAND

CAVALIERSCLE

62-16  |  Home

135
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
100%
📊
CAVALIERS
0%
BULLS --
CAVALIERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
248.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.4
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.4 points (Cleveland)
BullsCHI (-3.5) 0 CavaliersCLE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bulls Cover

36.6%

Cavaliers Cover

63.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CLE -3.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)

CHI By 1-7 points

21.0%

CHI By 8-14 points

10.1%

CLE By 1-7 points

27.3%

CLE By 8-14 points

20.8%

AI Model Projected Score
122.52
CHICAGO
125.94
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
112
CHICAGO
118
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cavaliers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cavaliers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cavaliers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.4
D
Sim Cavaliers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 248.5
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 19, 2026 CLE @ CHI 115 - 110
Dec 19, 2025 CHI @ CLE 136 - 125
Dec 17, 2025 CLE @ CHI 111 - 127
Nov 8, 2025 CHI @ CLE 122 - 128
Oct 9, 2025 CLE @ CHI 112 - 119
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +33.0% more
Cleveland: 8.8 vs Chicago: 6.6
Blocks (L5) +16.6% more
Cleveland: 4.4 vs Chicago: 3.8
Rebounding (L5) +11.6% more
Chicago: 48.3 vs Cleveland: 42.7
Free Throw % (L5) +9.9%
Chicago: 80.9% vs Cleveland: 71.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHI Score 122.5 113
CLE Score 125.9 135
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.6 / 40.6 50.0 / 34.9
Assists 28.7 / 28.8 35.0 / 26.0
Blocks 4.4 / 3.8 3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 50.2 / 50.8 51.0 / 47.7
Free Throw % 71.0 / 80.9 61.5 / 84.2
Rebounding 42.7 / 48.3 45.0 / 45.0
Steals 8.8 / 6.6 13.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 14.6 / 15.0 13.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
23%TICKETS77%
51%MONEY49%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
43%MONEY57%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
70%MONEY30%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
31-51-0 (37.8%)
Margin: -5.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
CLE Advantage
60-40-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI Advantage
39-43-0 (47.6%)
Margin: -5.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
CLE
40-60-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7% Total +/-: +0.5
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0% Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
CHI
CLE
CHI
ML
60% 69-46
56% 54-42
56% 55-44
57% 46-35
ATS
67% 75-37-3
65% 62-33-1
56% 55-44
57% 46-35
TTL
59% 68-47
58% 56-40
100% 99-0
100% 81-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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