VANCOUVER
CANUCKSVAN
35-29-13 | Road
6
DALLAS
STARSDAL
50-22-5 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Thatcher Demko
#35 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Casey DeSmith
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thatcher Demko | None-None | 3.83 | 0.852 | -- |
| Casey DeSmith | None-None | 5.65 | 0.813 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.83 Ldr
GAA
5.65
0.852 Ldr
Save %
0.813
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
CANUCKS
100%
STARS
0%
CANUCKS
--
STARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (Dallas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around DAL -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)
VAN By 1 goal
10.9%
VAN By 2-3 goals
7.9%
DAL By 1 goal
19.6%
DAL By 2-3 goals
31.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Vancouver
2.85
VANCOUVER
Dallas
4.05
DALLAS
Simulated Score
Vancouver
2
VANCOUVER
Dallas
3
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Stars
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Stars
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Stars (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.2
D
Sim
Stars (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 2, 2026
DAL @ VAN
6 - 1
Nov 20, 2025
DAL @ VAN
4 - 2
Oct 16, 2025
VAN @ DAL
5 - 3
Apr 8, 2025
VAN @ DAL
6 - 5
Mar 9, 2025
DAL @ VAN
4 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Faceoff % (L5)
+7.9%
Dallas: 55.1%
vs
Vancouver: 47.1%
Hits (L5)
+53.0% more
Vancouver: 30.2
vs
Dallas: 14.2
Takeaways (L5)
+40.0% more
Vancouver: 5.4
vs
Dallas: 3.2
Power Play % (L5)
+14.1%
Vancouver: 30.0%
vs
Dallas: 15.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VAN Score
2.9
6
DAL Score
4.1
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.7 / 14.2
20.0 / 9.0
Faceoff %
55.1 / 47.1
58.5 / 41.5
Hits
14.2 / 30.2
14.0 / 29.0
Power Play %
15.9 / 30.0
75.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
25.1 / 24.6
28.0 / 32.0
Takeaways
3.2 / 5.4
5.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
VAN
DAL
VAN
ML
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
ATS
0%
0-3
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
TTL
100%
3-0
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
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