MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
5-5 | Road
7
COLORADO
ROCKIESCOL
2-7 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Abner Uribe
#45 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Jimmy Herget
#44 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abner Uribe | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
| Jimmy Herget | None-None | 4.91 | -- | 0.2 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
0.00 Ldr
ERA
4.91
--
WHIP
--
1.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
0.2
2 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
BREWERS
100%
ROCKIES
0%
BREWERS
--
ROCKIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around COL -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)
MIL By 1-2 runs
18.2%
MIL By 3-4 runs
13.2%
COL By 1-2 runs
18.6%
COL By 3-4 runs
13.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
3.65
MILWAUKEE
Colorado
3.76
COLORADO
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
5
MILWAUKEE
Colorado
3
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Rockies
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Brewers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Rockies (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.1
D
Sim
Brewers (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 26, 2026
COL @ MIL
2 - 11
Jul 25, 2026
COL @ MIL
5 - 8
Jul 24, 2026
COL @ MIL
5 - 2
Jun 7, 2026
MIL @ COL
12 - 4
Jun 6, 2026
MIL @ COL
7 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Milwaukee
MIL
vs
Colorado
COL
162
Games Played
162
5.14
▲
Runs / Game
4.64
.258
▲
Avg (AVG)
.254
.341
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.322
.403
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.417
.743
▲
OPS
.739
154
Home Runs
▲
180
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+36.3% more
Colorado: 3.9
vs
Milwaukee: 2.8
Hits (L5)
+27.5% more
Colorado: 10.3
vs
Milwaukee: 8.1
Total Bases (L5)
+25.9% more
Colorado: 16.3
vs
Milwaukee: 13.0
Home Runs (Season)
+16.9% more
Colorado: 180.0
vs
Milwaukee: 154.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
3.7
7
COL Score
3.8
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.5
1.0 / 1.0
Hits
10.3 / 8.1
5.0 / 11.0
Home Runs
0.9 / 1.0
1.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts
8.5 / 8.9
7.0 / 14.0
Total Bases
16.3 / 13.0
9.0 / 23.0
Walks
3.9 / 2.8
0.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
COL
58-104-0
(35.8%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
COL
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
MIL
COL
MIL
ML
60%
97-64
62%
101-61
55%
88-73
52%
84-78
ATS
60%
97-64
58%
94-68
52%
83-78
48%
78-84
TTL
60%
93-62-6
40%
62-92-8
50%
77-78-6
50%
77-77-8
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