Home / MLB Projections MLB / Padres @ Athletics SD @ ATH

SAN DIEGO

PADRESSD

9-2  |  Road

4
FINAL
Tue, Apr 8 • 10:05 PM ET
Sutter Health Park
View Odds Details →

ATHLETICS

ATHLETICSATH

4-7  |  Home

10
Probable Pitchers
Wandy Peralta
STARTING PITCHER

Wandy Peralta

#58 | Relief Pitcher
@
Jeffrey Springs
STARTING PITCHER

Jeffrey Springs

#59 | Starting Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Wandy Peralta None-None 0.00 -- 1.0 1
Jeffrey Springs None-None 4.20 -- 6.0 4
None-None W-L None-None
0.00 Ldr ERA 4.20
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 6.0
1 K (Strikeouts) Ldr 4
AI Model Win Probability
PADRES
0%
📊
ATHLETICS
100%
PADRES --
ATHLETICS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
SAN DIEGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (San Diego)
PadresSD (-3.5) 0 AthleticsATH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Padres Cover

61.6%

Athletics Cover

38.4%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around SD -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SD)

SD By 1-2 runs

19.7%

SD By 3-4 runs

16.7%

ATH By 1-2 runs

15.8%

ATH By 3-4 runs

10.1%

AI Model Projected Score
4.34
SAN DIEGO
3.16
ATHLETICS
Simulated Score
5
SAN DIEGO
3
ATHLETICS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Padres Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Padres Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Padres (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.2
D
Sim Padres (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 7.5
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
May 24, 2026 ATH @ SD 5 - 2
May 23, 2026 ATH @ SD 0 - 2
May 22, 2026 ATH @ SD 3 - 7
Apr 9, 2025 SD @ ATH 2 - 1
Apr 8, 2025 SD @ ATH 4 - 10
Season Statistics Comparison
San Diego SD
vs
Athletics ATH
2
Games Played
▲ 162
6.00 ▲
Runs / Game
4.31
.328 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.245
.362 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.563 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.402
.925 ▲
OPS
.719
4
Home Runs
▲ 194
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5) +60.0% more
San Diego: 0.8 vs Athletics: 0.2
Walks (L5) +34.1% more
San Diego: 4.7 vs Athletics: 3.1
Runs per Game (Season) +28.2% more
San Diego: 6.0 vs Athletics: 4.3
OPS (Season) +20.6%
San Diego: 92.5% vs Athletics: 71.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SD Score 4.3 4
ATH Score 3.2 10
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.2 / 0.8 1.0 / 1.0
Hits 9.4 / 9.6 13.0 / 11.0
Home Runs 1.8 / 1.2 1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 8.0 / 7.5 9.0 / 7.0
Total Bases 15.9 / 15.1 20.0 / 15.0
Walks 3.1 / 4.7 2.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
93%TICKETS7%
92%MONEY8%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
79%TICKETS21%
70%MONEY30%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
88%MONEY12%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SD Advantage
94-74-0 (56.0%)
Margin: 0.3 ATS +/-:
ATH
64-98-0 (39.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SD Advantage
(57.1%)
Margin: 0.3 ATS +/-:
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SD
78-85-5
O: 47.9% / U: 52.2% Total +/-: +0.2
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATH
SD
ATH
SD
ML
59% 95-67
51% 85-83
54% 87-74
51% 85-82
ATS
52% 84-78
54% 91-77
50% 81-80
55% 92-75
TTL
54% 84-73-5
51% 82-80-6
42% 66-90-5
54% 86-74-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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