CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
35-42 | Road
131
CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
19-58 | Home
117
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
0%
HORNETS
100%
BULLS
--
HORNETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
227.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.1
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.1 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CHI -7.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)
CHI By 1-7 points
26.1%
CHI By 8-14 points
25.4%
CHA By 1-7 points
15.2%
CHA By 8-14 points
5.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
117.31
CHICAGO
Charlotte
110.23
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
Chicago
118
CHICAGO
Charlotte
105
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulls
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulls
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulls (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.1
D
Sim
Bulls (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 227.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 24, 2026
CHA @ CHI
131 - 99
Jan 3, 2026
CHA @ CHI
112 - 99
Dec 12, 2025
CHI @ CHA
129 - 126
Nov 28, 2025
CHI @ CHA
116 - 123
Apr 6, 2025
CHI @ CHA
131 - 117
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+36.7% more
Chicago: 5.2
vs
Charlotte: 3.3
Steals (L5)
+28.6% more
Chicago: 5.9
vs
Charlotte: 4.2
Assists (L5)
+25.8% more
Chicago: 30.1
vs
Charlotte: 22.4
Rebounding (L5)
+12.3% more
Chicago: 51.9
vs
Charlotte: 45.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
117.3
131
CHA Score
110.2
117
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.2 / 38.6
26.7 / 44.4
Assists
22.4 / 30.1
25.0 / 26.0
Blocks
3.3 / 5.2
2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
45.0 / 49.5
48.2 / 53.5
Free Throw %
77.4 / 81.6
79.4 / 79.3
Rebounding
45.5 / 51.9
40.0 / 41.0
Steals
4.2 / 5.9
7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
15.6 / 16.0
14.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
CHA
Advantage
45-39-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
CHA
Advantage
50-34-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9%
Total +/-: -3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHA
CHI
CHA
CHI
ML
61%
60-39
56%
54-42
48%
40-44
57%
46-35
ATS
60%
59-40
65%
62-33-1
48%
40-44
57%
46-35
TTL
58%
57-42
58%
56-40
100%
84-0
100%
81-0
Contextual Game News
Tyler Kolek's Girlfriend Spills: Knicks Parade Police Mix-Up Hap…
Cooper Flagg and Mavericks Face Media at NBA China Games in Macao
Matt Barnes: Clippers Are Cursed, Urges Steve Ballmer to Rebrand
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
Kyrie Irving Set for Mavericks Return in China After 19-Month AC…