TORONTO
RAPTORSTOR
28-50 | Road
120
BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
25-52 | Home
109
AI Model Win Probability
RAPTORS
0%
NETS
100%
RAPTORS
--
NETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
209.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Toronto)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TOR -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)
TOR By 1-7 points
27.4%
TOR By 8-14 points
21.6%
BKN By 1-7 points
20.2%
BKN By 8-14 points
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Toronto
106.53
TORONTO
Brooklyn
102.55
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
Toronto
118
TORONTO
Brooklyn
115
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Raptors
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Raptors
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Raptors (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Raptors (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 209.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 233.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 12, 2026
BKN @ TOR
101 - 136
Dec 21, 2025
TOR @ BKN
81 - 96
Nov 23, 2025
BKN @ TOR
109 - 119
Nov 11, 2025
TOR @ BKN
119 - 109
Apr 6, 2025
TOR @ BKN
120 - 109
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+35.6% more
Toronto: 3.9
vs
Brooklyn: 2.5
Steals (L5)
+21.0% more
Toronto: 9.7
vs
Brooklyn: 7.7
Turnovers (L5)
+13.1% more
Toronto: 14.6
vs
Brooklyn: 12.7
Rebounding (L5)
+8.9% more
Toronto: 44.1
vs
Brooklyn: 40.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOR Score
106.5
120
BKN Score
102.6
109
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.4 / 36.7
28.6 / 33.3
Assists
27.9 / 28.6
25.0 / 30.0
Blocks
2.5 / 3.9
7.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
42.4 / 44.0
47.6 / 50.0
Free Throw %
78.0 / 74.8
77.8 / 63.6
Rebounding
40.1 / 44.1
46.0 / 47.0
Steals
7.7 / 9.7
8.0 / 16.0
Turnovers
12.7 / 14.6
24.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TOR
Advantage
49-40-0
(55.1%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TOR
Advantage
46-43-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
BKN
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4%
Total +/-: -1.8
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
TOR
BKN
TOR
ML
53%
50-45
55%
57-47
59%
48-34
55%
48-39
ATS
52%
48-44-3
61%
62-40-2
59%
48-34
55%
48-39
TTL
57%
54-41
60%
62-42
100%
82-0
100%
87-0
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