SACRAMENTO
KINGSSAC
37-40 | Road
120
CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
62-15 | Home
113
AI Model Win Probability
KINGS
100%
CAVALIERS
0%
KINGS
--
CAVALIERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
231.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.6
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.6 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CLE -3.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
SAC By 1-7 points
20.7%
SAC By 8-14 points
9.8%
CLE By 1-7 points
27.3%
CLE By 8-14 points
21.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Sacramento
113.7
SACRAMENTO
Cleveland
117.3
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
Sacramento
118
SACRAMENTO
Cleveland
124
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cavaliers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cavaliers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cavaliers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.6
D
Sim
Cavaliers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 231.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 242.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 7, 2026
CLE @ SAC
132 - 126
Jan 23, 2026
SAC @ CLE
118 - 123
Apr 6, 2025
SAC @ CLE
120 - 113
Mar 19, 2025
CLE @ SAC
119 - 123
Feb 5, 2024
SAC @ CLE
110 - 136
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+26.2% more
Cleveland: 4.1
vs
Sacramento: 3.3
Turnovers (L5)
+21.8% more
Cleveland: 14.0
vs
Sacramento: 11.5
Steals (L5)
+14.6% more
Cleveland: 7.7
vs
Sacramento: 6.7
Assists (L5)
+13.5% more
Cleveland: 27.6
vs
Sacramento: 24.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SAC Score
113.7
120
CLE Score
117.3
113
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.2 / 37.1
26.3 / 42.4
Assists
27.6 / 24.3
31.0 / 25.0
Blocks
4.1 / 3.3
5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
49.2 / 47.1
52.3 / 53.7
Free Throw %
77.5 / 77.1
57.9 / 81.8
Rebounding
44.5 / 44.3
39.0 / 39.0
Steals
7.7 / 6.7
11.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
14.0 / 11.5
16.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SAC
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
CLE
Advantage
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SAC
Advantage
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +0.8
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
SAC
CLE
SAC
ML
60%
69-46
55%
55-45
56%
55-44
61%
50-32
ATS
67%
75-37-3
54%
52-45-3
56%
55-44
61%
50-32
TTL
59%
68-47
58%
57-42-1
100%
99-0
100%
82-0
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