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FLORIDA

PANTHERSFLA

44-28-4  |  Road

1
FINAL
Sun, Apr 6 • 5:30 PM ET
Little Caesars Arena
View Odds Details →

DETROIT

RED WINGSDET

35-33-7  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Niko Mikkola
GOALTENDER

Niko Mikkola

#77 | Defense
@
Moritz Seider
GOALTENDER

Moritz Seider

#53 | Defense
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Niko Mikkola None-None -- -- --
Moritz Seider None-None -- -- --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA --
-- Save % --
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
0%
📊
RED WINGS
100%
PANTHERS --
RED WINGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Florida)
PanthersFLA (-3.5) 0 Red WingsDET (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Panthers Cover

54.8%

Red Wings Cover

45.2%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around FLA -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)

FLA By 1 goal

18.4%

FLA By 2-3 goals

21.3%

DET By 1 goal

16.4%

DET By 2-3 goals

16.1%

AI Model Projected Score
2.35
FLORIDA
2.11
DETROIT
Simulated Score
4
FLORIDA
3
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Panthers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Panthers (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: -0.2
D
Sim Panthers (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 4.5
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 15, 2026 DET @ FLA 1 - 8
Mar 10, 2026 DET @ FLA 3 - 4
Mar 6, 2026 FLA @ DET 3 - 1
Oct 15, 2025 FLA @ DET 1 - 4
Apr 10, 2025 DET @ FLA 1 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +34.5% more
Florida: 39.0 vs Detroit: 25.5
Shots on Goal (L5) +29.5% more
Florida: 32.6 vs Detroit: 23.0
Power Play % (L5) +8.4%
Florida: 21.6% vs Detroit: 13.3%
Blocked Shots (L5) +68.0% more
Detroit: 17.8 vs Florida: 10.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
FLA Score 2.4 1
DET Score 2.1 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 17.8 / 10.6 10.0 / 13.0
Faceoff % 44.1 / 45.1 42.0 / 58.0
Hits 25.5 / 39.0 19.0 / 42.0
Power Play % 13.3 / 21.6 20.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 23.0 / 32.6 24.0 / 33.0
Takeaways 4.3 / 4.6 7.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
36%MONEY64%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
37%MONEY63%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
90%MONEY10%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
FLA
DET
FLA
ML
67% 2-1
0% 0-4
33% 1-2
0% 0-4
ATS
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
TTL
0% 0-3
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
0% 0-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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