PITTSBURGH
PENGUINSPIT
31-34-12 | Road
1
CHICAGO
BLACKHAWKSCHI
21-45-10 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Kris Letang
#58 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Spencer Knight
#30 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Letang | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Spencer Knight | None-None | 1.00 | 0.966 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
1.00
--
Save %
0.966
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
PENGUINS
100%
BLACKHAWKS
0%
PENGUINS
--
BLACKHAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CHI -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)
PIT By 1 goal
15.9%
PIT By 2-3 goals
15.3%
CHI By 1 goal
18.7%
CHI By 2-3 goals
22.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Pittsburgh
2.73
PITTSBURGH
Chicago
3.05
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Pittsburgh
4
PITTSBURGH
Chicago
2
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Blackhawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Penguins
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Blackhawks (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.3
D
Sim
Penguins (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 29, 2026
CHI @ PIT
2 - 6
Dec 28, 2025
PIT @ CHI
7 - 3
Apr 8, 2025
CHI @ PIT
0 - 5
Apr 6, 2025
PIT @ CHI
1 - 3
Feb 15, 2024
PIT @ CHI
4 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+10.6% more
Chicago: 13.5
vs
Pittsburgh: 12.2
Power Play % (L5)
+37.1%
Pittsburgh: 44.5%
vs
Chicago: 7.5%
Takeaways (L5)
+34.9% more
Pittsburgh: 5.3
vs
Chicago: 3.5
Hits (L5)
+30.7% more
Pittsburgh: 22.9
vs
Chicago: 15.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PIT Score
2.7
1
CHI Score
3.1
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.5 / 12.2
10.0 / 7.0
Faceoff %
41.7 / 54.0
39.5 / 60.5
Hits
15.9 / 22.9
19.0 / 27.0
Power Play %
7.5 / 44.5
0.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
23.7 / 31.7
31.0 / 29.0
Takeaways
3.5 / 5.3
7.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
PIT
CHI
PIT
ML
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
ATS
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
100%
4-0
75%
3-1
TTL
33%
1-2-1
25%
1-3
67%
2-1-1
50%
2-2
Contextual Game News
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