BOSTON
BRUINSBOS
31-37-9 | Road
3
BUFFALO
SABRESBUF
33-36-6 | Home
6
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Connor Clifton
#75 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Clifton | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen | None-None | 3.00 | 0.850 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
3.00
--
Save %
0.850
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
100%
SABRES
0%
BRUINS
--
SABRES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
BUFFALO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (Buffalo)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BUF -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BUF)
BOS By 1 goal
10.9%
BOS By 2-3 goals
7.9%
BUF By 1 goal
19.6%
BUF By 2-3 goals
31.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
2.17
BOSTON
Buffalo
3.37
BUFFALO
Simulated Score
Boston
4
BOSTON
Buffalo
2
BUFFALO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Sabres
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bruins
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Sabres (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.2
D
Sim
Bruins (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 1, 2026
BUF @ BOS
4 - 1
Apr 28, 2026
BOS @ BUF
2 - 1
Apr 26, 2026
BUF @ BOS
6 - 1
Apr 23, 2026
BUF @ BOS
3 - 1
Apr 21, 2026
BOS @ BUF
4 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+80.9% more
Buffalo: 5.5
vs
Boston: 3.0
Shots on Goal (L5)
+22.5% more
Buffalo: 28.1
vs
Boston: 22.9
Power Play % (L5)
+7.9%
Buffalo: 24.1%
vs
Boston: 16.3%
Hits (L5)
+49.3% more
Boston: 30.4
vs
Buffalo: 15.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
2.2
3
BUF Score
3.4
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
18.7 / 17.4
8.0 / 17.0
Faceoff %
43.2 / 48.4
50.9 / 49.1
Hits
15.4 / 30.4
13.0 / 23.0
Power Play %
24.1 / 16.3
0.0 / 100.0
Shots on Goal
28.1 / 22.9
37.0 / 20.0
Takeaways
5.5 / 3.0
7.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUF
BOS
BUF
BOS
ML
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
ATS
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
3-0
50%
2-2
TTL
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
0%
0-4
Contextual Game News
Bruins Look to Fix Special Teams as Senators Come to Town
Jiri Kulich's Emotional Game-Winner Lifts Sabres Over Blackhawks…
Kaprizov's Two Goals Propel Wild Past Bruins 4-1
Wild Aim to Stay Perfect at Home Against Bruins; Newcomers Shine…
Peterka's Overtime Heroics Lift Bruins Over Jets in Season Opener