DALLAS
MAVERICKSDAL
38-40 | Road
104
LA
CLIPPERSLAC
45-32 | Home
135
AI Model Win Probability
MAVERICKS
100%
CLIPPERS
0%
MAVERICKS
--
CLIPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
237.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.3
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.3 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAC -8.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
DAL By 1-7 points
13.3%
DAL By 8-14 points
4.6%
LAC By 1-7 points
25.1%
LAC By 8-14 points
26.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Dallas
114.34
DALLAS
LA
122.62
LA
Simulated Score
Dallas
118
DALLAS
LA
122
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Clippers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Clippers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Clippers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.3
D
Sim
Clippers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 237.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 240.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 7, 2026
DAL @ LAC
103 - 116
Mar 21, 2026
LAC @ DAL
138 - 131
Nov 29, 2025
DAL @ LAC
114 - 110
Nov 14, 2025
LAC @ DAL
133 - 127
Apr 5, 2025
DAL @ LAC
104 - 135
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+34.6% more
LA: 9.6
vs
Dallas: 7.1
Blocks (L5)
+32.1% more
LA: 4.6
vs
Dallas: 3.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+9.2%
LA: 41.6%
vs
Dallas: 32.4%
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.6%
LA: 79.3%
vs
Dallas: 71.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DAL Score
114.3
104
LAC Score
122.6
135
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
41.6 / 32.4
39.3 / 25.9
Assists
24.1 / 24.0
31.0 / 18.0
Blocks
4.6 / 3.5
3.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
49.7 / 48.8
56.3 / 43.6
Free Throw %
79.3 / 71.7
80.0 / 76.3
Rebounding
43.2 / 41.3
45.0 / 41.0
Steals
9.6 / 7.1
11.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
13.3 / 14.3
7.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DAL
26-56-0
(31.7%)
Margin: -5.5
ATS +/-: -0.8
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DAL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -5.5
ATS +/-: -0.8
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
DAL
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: +1.0
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
DAL
LAC
DAL
ML
60%
59-40
62%
63-39
55%
45-37
54%
44-37
ATS
66%
65-33-1
67%
68-34
55%
45-37
54%
44-37
TTL
59%
58-40-1
59%
60-41-1
100%
82-0
100%
81-0
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