Home / NHL Projections NHL / Panthers @ Senators FLA @ OTT

FLORIDA

PANTHERSFLA

44-27-4  |  Road

0
FINAL
Sat, Apr 5 • 2:00 PM ET
Canadian Tire Centre
View Odds Details →

OTTAWA

SENATORSOTT

40-29-6  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Niko Mikkola
GOALTENDER

Niko Mikkola

#77 | Defense
@
Artem Zub
GOALTENDER

Artem Zub

#2 | Defense
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Niko Mikkola None-None -- -- --
Artem Zub None-None -- -- --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA --
-- Save % --
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
0%
📊
SENATORS
100%
PANTHERS --
SENATORS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (Florida)
PanthersFLA (-3.5) 0 SenatorsOTT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Panthers Cover

72.4%

Senators Cover

27.6%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around FLA -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)

FLA By 1 goal

19.7%

FLA By 2-3 goals

31.4%

OTT By 1 goal

11.0%

OTT By 2-3 goals

8.0%

AI Model Projected Score
2.63
FLORIDA
1.44
OTTAWA
Simulated Score
4
FLORIDA
3
OTTAWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Panthers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Panthers (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.2
D
Sim Panthers (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 4.1
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 9, 2026 FLA @ OTT 1 - 5
Mar 31, 2026 OTT @ FLA 3 - 6
Jan 10, 2026 FLA @ OTT 3 - 2
Oct 11, 2025 OTT @ FLA 2 - 6
Apr 5, 2025 FLA @ OTT 0 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +18.4% more
Florida: 4.0 vs Ottawa: 3.2
Power Play % (L5) +15.8%
Florida: 32.4% vs Ottawa: 16.6%
Hits (L5) +14.0% more
Florida: 30.9 vs Ottawa: 26.6
Shots on Goal (L5) +8.7% more
Florida: 29.4 vs Ottawa: 26.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
FLA Score 2.6 0
OTT Score 1.4 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 16.5 / 11.4 20.0 / 9.0
Faceoff % 55.6 / 47.1 58.8 / 41.2
Hits 26.6 / 30.9 31.0 / 55.0
Power Play % 16.6 / 32.4 20.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 26.8 / 29.4 22.0 / 39.0
Takeaways 3.2 / 4.0 8.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
78%MONEY22%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
87%MONEY13%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
63%MONEY37%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OTT
FLA
OTT
FLA
ML
0% 0-3
0% 0-4
67% 2-1
0% 0-4
ATS
0% 0-3
25% 1-3
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
TTL
67% 2-1
25% 1-3
67% 2-1
0% 0-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Barkov Eyes Late November Return; Marchand Could Be Back Soon fo…
wsvn 3 minutes ago
Panthers Eyeing Vladimir Tarasenko as Insurance for Brad Marchan…
yardbarker 6 minutes ago
The Unexpected Cornerback the Steelers Regret Losing
si 6 minutes ago
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
si 6 hours, 6 minutes ago
Islanders' Blue Line Shake-Up: Three Defenders Who Must Elevate …
si 12 hours, 6 minutes ago