Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Lukas Dostal
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Thatcher Demko
#35 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Dostal | None-None | 6.00 | 0.769 | -- |
| Thatcher Demko | None-None | 2.01 | 0.938 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
6.00
GAA
Ldr 2.01
0.769
Save %
Ldr 0.938
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
DUCKS
100%
CANUCKS
0%
DUCKS
--
CANUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
VANCOUVER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (Vancouver)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VAN -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VAN)
ANA By 1 goal
11.0%
ANA By 2-3 goals
8.0%
VAN By 1 goal
19.7%
VAN By 2-3 goals
31.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Anaheim
2.08
ANAHEIM
Vancouver
3.26
VANCOUVER
Simulated Score
Anaheim
3
ANAHEIM
Vancouver
4
VANCOUVER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Canucks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Canucks
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Canucks (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.2
D
Sim
Canucks (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 12, 2026
VAN @ ANA
4 - 3
Mar 24, 2026
ANA @ VAN
5 - 3
Jan 29, 2026
ANA @ VAN
0 - 2
Nov 26, 2025
VAN @ ANA
5 - 4
Apr 5, 2025
ANA @ VAN
2 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+51.1% more
Vancouver: 32.2
vs
Anaheim: 21.3
Power Play % (L5)
+7.3%
Vancouver: 17.5%
vs
Anaheim: 10.2%
Faceoff % (L5)
+3.9%
Vancouver: 47.2%
vs
Anaheim: 43.4%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+31.4% more
Anaheim: 16.9
vs
Vancouver: 11.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ANA Score
2.1
2
VAN Score
3.3
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
11.6 / 16.9
9.0 / 5.0
Faceoff %
47.2 / 43.4
43.9 / 56.1
Hits
32.2 / 21.3
31.0 / 31.0
Power Play %
17.5 / 10.2
100.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
26.7 / 31.5
26.0 / 32.0
Takeaways
3.5 / 4.4
5.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VAN
ANA
VAN
ANA
ML
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
ATS
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
TTL
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
0%
0-3