COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
47-26-4 | Road
4
ST. LOUIS
BLUESSTL
42-28-7 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Mackenzie Blackwood
#39 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jordan Binnington
#50 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Blackwood | None-None | 4.18 | 0.810 | -- |
| Jordan Binnington | None-None | 4.00 | 0.897 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.18
GAA
Ldr 4.00
0.810
Save %
Ldr 0.897
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
AVALANCHE
0%
BLUES
100%
AVALANCHE
--
BLUES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around COL -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)
COL By 1 goal
19.3%
COL By 2-3 goals
24.7%
STL By 1 goal
14.7%
STL By 2-3 goals
13.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
4.45
COLORADO
St. Louis
3.9
ST. LOUIS
Simulated Score
Colorado
4
COLORADO
St. Louis
3
ST. LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Avalanche
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.6
D
Sim
Avalanche (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 3, 2026
STL @ COL
1 - 6
Apr 7, 2026
COL @ STL
3 - 1
Dec 31, 2025
STL @ COL
1 - 6
Apr 5, 2025
COL @ STL
4 - 5
Mar 29, 2025
STL @ COL
2 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+15.2% more
Colorado: 30.8
vs
St. Louis: 26.2
Power Play % (L5)
+12.9%
Colorado: 29.0%
vs
St. Louis: 16.1%
Hits (L5)
+44.1% more
St. Louis: 28.4
vs
Colorado: 19.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
4.5
4
STL Score
3.9
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.3 / 16.5
20.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
54.8 / 55.8
53.7 / 46.3
Hits
28.4 / 19.7
21.0 / 28.0
Power Play %
16.1 / 29.0
66.7 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
26.2 / 30.8
22.0 / 39.0
Takeaways
5.0 / 4.7
3.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STL
COL
STL
COL
ML
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
ATS
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
50%
1-1-1
33%
1-2
50%
1-1-1
67%
2-1
Contextual Game News
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