Home / NBA Projections NBA / Kings @ Hornets SAC @ CHA

SACRAMENTO

KINGSSAC

36-40  |  Road

125
FINAL
Fri, Apr 4 • 7:00 PM ET
Spectrum Center
View Odds Details →

CHARLOTTE

HORNETSCHA

19-57  |  Home

102
AI Model Win Probability
KINGS
0%
📊
HORNETS
100%
KINGS --
HORNETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
210.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.2
SACRAMENTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.2 points (Sacramento)
KingsSAC (-3.5) 0 HornetsCHA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Kings Cover

69.9%

Hornets Cover

30.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SAC -5.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SAC)

SAC By 1-7 points

27.2%

SAC By 8-14 points

23.3%

CHA By 1-7 points

18.2%

CHA By 8-14 points

7.8%

AI Model Projected Score
107.78
SACRAMENTO
102.57
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
121
SACRAMENTO
115
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Kings Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Kings Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Kings (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.2
D
Sim Kings (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 210.4
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 236.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 24, 2026 SAC @ CHA 90 - 134
Mar 11, 2026 CHA @ SAC 117 - 109
Apr 4, 2025 SAC @ CHA 125 - 102
Feb 24, 2025 CHA @ SAC 88 - 130
Jan 10, 2024 SAC @ CHA 123 - 98
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +34.0% more
Sacramento: 8.1 vs Charlotte: 5.3
Turnovers (L5) +28.2% more
Charlotte: 16.9 vs Sacramento: 13.2
Blocks (L5) +15.2% more
Charlotte: 3.9 vs Sacramento: 3.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.4%
Charlotte: 36.9% vs Sacramento: 33.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SAC Score 107.8 125
CHA Score 102.6 102
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.9 / 33.5 22.9 / 44.4
Assists 25.0 / 23.5 17.0 / 26.0
Blocks 3.9 / 3.4 2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 47.6 / 45.9 39.8 / 49.5
Free Throw % 74.9 / 74.4 82.4 / 82.6
Rebounding 45.8 / 44.5 45.0 / 44.0
Steals 5.3 / 8.1 2.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 16.9 / 13.2 13.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
87%TICKETS13%
77%MONEY23%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
74%MONEY26%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
64%MONEY36%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SAC
22-60-0 (26.8%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
CHA Advantage
45-39-0 (53.6%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +4.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SAC
36-46-0 (43.9%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
CHA Advantage
50-34-0 (59.5%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +4.4
⚖️ Over/Under
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6% Total +/-: +0.8
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9% Total +/-: -3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHA
SAC
CHA
SAC
ML
61% 60-39
55% 55-45
48% 40-44
61% 50-32
ATS
60% 59-40
54% 52-45-3
48% 40-44
61% 50-32
TTL
58% 57-42
58% 57-42-1
100% 84-0
100% 82-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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