PHOENIX
SUNSPHX
35-41 | Road
103
BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
56-20 | Home
123
AI Model Win Probability
SUNS
100%
CELTICS
0%
SUNS
--
CELTICS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
228.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.7
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.7 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BOS -5.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
PHX By 1-7 points
17.4%
PHX By 8-14 points
7.1%
BOS By 1-7 points
27.0%
BOS By 8-14 points
24.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Phoenix
111.47
PHOENIX
Boston
117.21
BOSTON
Simulated Score
Phoenix
118
PHOENIX
Boston
122
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Celtics
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Celtics
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Celtics (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.7
D
Sim
Celtics (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 228.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 240.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 16, 2026
PHX @ BOS
112 - 120
Feb 24, 2026
BOS @ PHX
97 - 81
Apr 4, 2025
PHX @ BOS
103 - 123
Mar 26, 2025
BOS @ PHX
132 - 102
Mar 14, 2024
PHX @ BOS
112 - 127
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+75.1% more
Boston: 4.9
vs
Phoenix: 2.8
Rebounding (L5)
+25.5% more
Boston: 47.7
vs
Phoenix: 38.0
Steals (L5)
+27.9% more
Phoenix: 6.4
vs
Boston: 4.6
Turnovers (L5)
+22.3% more
Phoenix: 15.4
vs
Boston: 12.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHX Score
111.5
103
BOS Score
117.2
123
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.5 / 38.7
35.9 / 32.4
Assists
28.1 / 26.4
28.0 / 24.0
Blocks
4.9 / 2.8
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
45.5 / 48.2
51.7 / 44.1
Free Throw %
83.1 / 82.9
86.4 / 81.8
Rebounding
47.7 / 38.0
49.0 / 40.0
Steals
4.6 / 6.4
1.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
12.0 / 15.4
7.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHX
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
BOS
Advantage
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHX
50-38-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
BOS
Advantage
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
PHX
40-48-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -1.6
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
PHX
BOS
PHX
ML
57%
61-46
57%
60-45
53%
47-41
51%
45-43
ATS
59%
61-43-3
58%
59-43-3
53%
47-41
51%
45-43
TTL
56%
60-47
59%
61-42-2
100%
88-0
100%
88-0
Contextual Game News
Boston Celtics' Young Wings Face Huge Opportunity After Jaylen B…
Chicago Bulls Edge Phoenix Suns 124-117 in Preseason Opener
Caleb Wilson's Bulls Debut: Rookie Brings Bold Talk and Mixed Re…
Phoenix Suns 2026-27 Season Preview: Can Devin Booker and the Re…
Cavs 2026-27 Viewing Guide: DAZN, National TV, and Free Over-the…