PORTLAND
TRAIL BLAZERSPOR
34-43 | Road
113
CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
34-42 | Home
118
AI Model Win Probability
TRAIL BLAZERS
100%
BULLS
0%
TRAIL BLAZERS
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
237.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.1
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.1 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CHI -7.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)
POR By 1-7 points
15.1%
POR By 8-14 points
5.6%
CHI By 1-7 points
26.1%
CHI By 8-14 points
25.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Portland
115.12
PORTLAND
Chicago
122.26
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Portland
118
PORTLAND
Chicago
112
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bulls
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Trail Blazers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bulls (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.1
D
Sim
Trail Blazers (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 237.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 26, 2026
POR @ CHI
121 - 112
Nov 19, 2025
CHI @ POR
122 - 121
Apr 4, 2025
POR @ CHI
113 - 118
Jan 19, 2025
CHI @ POR
102 - 113
Mar 18, 2024
POR @ CHI
107 - 110
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+38.6% more
Chicago: 32.7
vs
Portland: 23.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.5%
Chicago: 39.5%
vs
Portland: 30.9%
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.1%
Chicago: 50.7%
vs
Portland: 45.7%
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.6%
Chicago: 80.5%
vs
Portland: 76.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
POR Score
115.1
113
CHI Score
122.3
118
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.5 / 30.9
37.0 / 26.2
Assists
32.7 / 23.6
25.0 / 23.0
Blocks
3.8 / 4.8
8.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
50.7 / 45.7
47.1 / 38.3
Free Throw %
80.5 / 76.9
83.9 / 77.8
Rebounding
47.4 / 47.9
61.0 / 54.0
Steals
7.9 / 10.3
2.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
15.0 / 18.0
18.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
POR
Advantage
44-44-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
POR
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
CHI
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -1.0
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
POR
CHI
POR
ML
56%
54-42
53%
56-49
57%
46-35
55%
49-40
ATS
65%
62-33-1
62%
65-39-1
57%
46-35
55%
49-40
TTL
58%
56-40
56%
58-46-1
100%
81-0
100%
89-0
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