DALLAS
MAVERICKSDAL
38-39 | Road
91
LA
CLIPPERSLAC
44-32 | Home
114
AI Model Win Probability
MAVERICKS
0%
CLIPPERS
100%
MAVERICKS
--
CLIPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
238.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (Dallas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DAL -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)
DAL By 1-7 points
26.3%
DAL By 8-14 points
17.2%
LAC By 1-7 points
24.1%
LAC By 8-14 points
13.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Dallas
119.83
DALLAS
LA
118.66
LA
Simulated Score
Dallas
118
DALLAS
LA
122
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Mavericks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Clippers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Mavericks (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.2
D
Sim
Clippers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 238.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 240.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 7, 2026
DAL @ LAC
103 - 116
Mar 21, 2026
LAC @ DAL
138 - 131
Nov 29, 2025
DAL @ LAC
114 - 110
Nov 14, 2025
LAC @ DAL
133 - 127
Apr 5, 2025
DAL @ LAC
104 - 135
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+23.5% more
LA: 8.9
vs
Dallas: 7.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.6%
LA: 81.4%
vs
Dallas: 74.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DAL Score
119.8
91
LAC Score
118.7
114
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.1 / 38.6
46.7 / 20.0
Assists
24.7 / 26.5
23.0 / 19.0
Blocks
4.9 / 5.2
4.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
49.9 / 50.4
49.4 / 45.5
Free Throw %
81.4 / 74.8
75.0 / 65.4
Rebounding
40.8 / 42.5
48.0 / 39.0
Steals
8.9 / 7.2
11.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
13.4 / 12.5
13.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DAL
26-56-0
(31.7%)
Margin: -5.5
ATS +/-: -0.8
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DAL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -5.5
ATS +/-: -0.8
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
DAL
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: +1.0
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
DAL
LAC
DAL
ML
60%
59-40
62%
63-39
55%
45-37
54%
44-37
ATS
66%
65-33-1
67%
68-34
55%
45-37
54%
44-37
TTL
59%
58-40-1
59%
60-41-1
100%
82-0
100%
81-0
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