CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
46-24-4 | Road
3
DETROIT
RED WINGSDET
34-33-7 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Pyotr Kochetkov
#52 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Moritz Seider
#53 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyotr Kochetkov | None-None | 4.15 | 0.800 | -- |
| Moritz Seider | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.15
GAA
--
0.800
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
0%
RED WINGS
100%
HURRICANES
--
RED WINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.6 points (Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CAR -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)
CAR By 1 goal
18.9%
CAR By 2-3 goals
34.9%
DET By 1 goal
8.6%
DET By 2-3 goals
5.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Carolina
4.27
CAROLINA
Detroit
2.67
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Carolina
4
CAROLINA
Detroit
2
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hurricanes
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.6
D
Sim
Hurricanes (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
DET @ CAR
2 - 5
Jan 12, 2026
CAR @ DET
3 - 4
Dec 27, 2025
DET @ CAR
2 - 5
Apr 4, 2025
CAR @ DET
3 - 5
Mar 14, 2025
DET @ CAR
2 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+30.7% more
Carolina: 5.8
vs
Detroit: 4.0
Shots on Goal (L5)
+21.9% more
Carolina: 30.6
vs
Detroit: 23.9
Power Play % (L5)
+9.2%
Carolina: 29.1%
vs
Detroit: 19.9%
Faceoff % (L5)
+2.9%
Carolina: 49.5%
vs
Detroit: 46.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CAR Score
4.3
3
DET Score
2.7
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.2 / 10.6
25.0 / 6.0
Faceoff %
46.6 / 49.5
39.3 / 60.7
Hits
29.8 / 12.2
17.0 / 7.0
Power Play %
1989.0 / 2913.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
23.9 / 30.6
21.0 / 33.0
Takeaways
4.0 / 5.8
5.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
CAR
DET
CAR
ML
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
ATS
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
100%
4-0
TTL
0%
0-3
0%
0-4
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
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