MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
41-28-7 | Road
1
NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
32-32-10 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Filip Gustavsson
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Ilya Sorokin
#30 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Gustavsson | None-None | 3.16 | 0.889 | -- |
| Ilya Sorokin | None-None | 1.00 | 0.964 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.16
GAA
Ldr 1.00
0.889
Save %
Ldr 0.964
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
WILD
0%
ISLANDERS
100%
WILD
--
ISLANDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.3
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.3 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around MIN -1.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
MIN By 1 goal
19.5%
MIN By 2-3 goals
32.5%
NYI By 1 goal
10.3%
NYI By 2-3 goals
7.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
3.12
MINNESOTA
New York
1.82
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Minnesota
3
MINNESOTA
New York
2
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Wild
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wild
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wild (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.3
D
Sim
Wild (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 10, 2026
NYI @ MIN
4 - 3
Nov 7, 2025
MIN @ NYI
5 - 2
Apr 4, 2025
MIN @ NYI
1 - 3
Feb 8, 2025
NYI @ MIN
3 - 6
Jan 15, 2024
NYI @ MIN
0 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+16.3% more
Minnesota: 16.0
vs
New York: 13.4
Power Play % (L5)
+9.0%
Minnesota: 23.0%
vs
New York: 14.0%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+22.6% more
New York: 31.1
vs
Minnesota: 25.4
Faceoff % (L5)
+12.5%
New York: 55.3%
vs
Minnesota: 42.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
3.1
1
NYI Score
1.8
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.4 / 16.0
18.0 / 26.0
Faceoff %
55.3 / 42.8
54.0 / 46.0
Hits
24.5 / 22.4
14.0 / 21.0
Power Play %
14.0 / 23.0
33.3 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
31.1 / 25.4
27.0 / 28.0
Takeaways
5.0 / 4.5
2.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYI
MIN
NYI
MIN
ML
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
ATS
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
100%
2-0-1
100%
3-0
100%
2-0-1
67%
2-1
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