ANAHEIM
DUCKSANA
33-33-8 | Road
1
CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
35-27-12 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Lukas Dostal
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Dustin Wolf
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Dostal | None-None | 3.00 | 0.875 | -- |
| Dustin Wolf | None-None | 1.00 | 0.963 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.00
GAA
Ldr 1.00
0.875
Save %
Ldr 0.963
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
DUCKS
100%
FLAMES
0%
DUCKS
--
FLAMES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.8
CALGARY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.8 points (Calgary)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CGY -0.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CGY)
ANA By 1 goal
13.3%
ANA By 2-3 goals
11.0%
CGY By 1 goal
19.6%
CGY By 2-3 goals
27.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Anaheim
1.92
ANAHEIM
Calgary
2.71
CALGARY
Simulated Score
Anaheim
3
ANAHEIM
Calgary
4
CALGARY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Flames
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flames
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Flames (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.8
D
Sim
Flames (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 4, 2026
CGY @ ANA
5 - 3
Mar 26, 2026
ANA @ CGY
3 - 2
Mar 1, 2026
CGY @ ANA
2 - 3
Jan 25, 2026
ANA @ CGY
4 - 3
Apr 9, 2025
CGY @ ANA
3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+76.4% more
Calgary: 31.7
vs
Anaheim: 18.0
Blocked Shots (L5)
+21.7% more
Calgary: 16.8
vs
Anaheim: 13.8
Power Play % (L5)
+8.7%
Anaheim: 15.3%
vs
Calgary: 6.7%
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.4%
Anaheim: 45.2%
vs
Calgary: 40.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ANA Score
1.9
1
CGY Score
2.7
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.8 / 13.8
14.0 / 23.0
Faceoff %
40.9 / 45.2
60.4 / 39.6
Hits
31.7 / 18.0
14.0 / 28.0
Power Play %
6.7 / 15.3
33.3 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
32.7 / 33.8
34.0 / 27.0
Takeaways
4.7 / 4.6
6.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CGY
ANA
CGY
ANA
ML
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
ATS
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
0%
0-3
Contextual Game News
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