WASHINGTON
CAPITALSWSH
48-17-9 | Road
1
CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
45-24-4 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Charlie Lindgren
#79 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Sean Walker
#26 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Lindgren | None-None | 3.00 | 0.895 | -- |
| Sean Walker | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.00
GAA
--
0.895
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
CAPITALS
100%
HURRICANES
0%
CAPITALS
--
HURRICANES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CAR -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)
WSH By 1 goal
12.2%
WSH By 2-3 goals
9.5%
CAR By 1 goal
19.7%
CAR By 2-3 goals
29.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
3.18
WASHINGTON
Carolina
4.16
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
Washington
2
WASHINGTON
Carolina
3
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hurricanes
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Hurricanes (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 2, 2026
WSH @ CAR
5 - 2
Jan 31, 2026
CAR @ WSH
3 - 4
Dec 11, 2025
CAR @ WSH
3 - 2
Nov 11, 2025
WSH @ CAR
4 - 1
May 15, 2025
CAR @ WSH
3 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+172.9% more
Carolina: 8.2
vs
Washington: 3.0
Hits (L5)
+37.9% more
Washington: 17.5
vs
Carolina: 10.8
Blocked Shots (L5)
+24.1% more
Washington: 13.1
vs
Carolina: 9.9
Power Play % (L5)
+3.0%
Washington: 28.0%
vs
Carolina: 25.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSH Score
3.2
1
CAR Score
4.2
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
9.9 / 13.1
12.0 / 14.0
Faceoff %
48.8 / 50.0
50.9 / 49.1
Hits
10.8 / 17.5
15.0 / 35.0
Power Play %
25.0 / 28.0
37.5 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
30.5 / 29.7
31.0 / 21.0
Takeaways
8.2 / 3.0
1.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
WSH
CAR
WSH
ML
75%
3-1
100%
3-0
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
ATS
50%
2-2
100%
3-0
100%
4-0
67%
2-1
TTL
0%
0-4
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
Contextual Game News
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