MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
41-28-6 | Road
4
NEW YORK
RANGERSNYR
35-32-7 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Filip Gustavsson
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Igor Shesterkin
#31 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Gustavsson | None-None | 4.97 | 0.872 | -- |
| Igor Shesterkin | None-None | 3.97 | 0.833 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.97
GAA
Ldr 3.97
0.872 Ldr
Save %
0.833
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
WILD
100%
RANGERS
0%
WILD
--
RANGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NYR -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYR)
MIN By 1 goal
14.4%
MIN By 2-3 goals
12.6%
NYR By 1 goal
19.4%
NYR By 2-3 goals
25.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
1.84
MINNESOTA
New York
2.45
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Minnesota
3
MINNESOTA
New York
2
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Rangers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wild
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Rangers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.6
D
Sim
Wild (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 14, 2026
NYR @ MIN
4 - 2
Oct 20, 2025
MIN @ NYR
3 - 1
Apr 2, 2025
MIN @ NYR
4 - 5
Mar 13, 2025
NYR @ MIN
3 - 2
Nov 9, 2023
MIN @ NYR
1 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Faceoff % (L5)
+11.8%
New York: 59.3%
vs
Minnesota: 47.5%
Takeaways (L5)
+36.3% more
Minnesota: 5.3
vs
New York: 3.4
Blocked Shots (L5)
+25.4% more
Minnesota: 18.5
vs
New York: 13.8
Power Play % (L5)
+6.0%
Minnesota: 9.6%
vs
New York: 3.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
1.8
4
NYR Score
2.5
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.8 / 18.5
13.0 / 11.0
Faceoff %
59.3 / 47.5
66.7 / 33.3
Hits
26.6 / 25.1
24.0 / 17.0
Power Play %
3.5 / 9.6
0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
26.9 / 26.0
39.0 / 24.0
Takeaways
3.4 / 5.3
3.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYR
MIN
NYR
MIN
ML
80%
4-1
67%
2-1
40%
2-3
33%
1-2
ATS
80%
4-1
33%
1-2
60%
3-2
33%
1-2
TTL
60%
3-2
100%
3-0
60%
3-2
67%
2-1
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