SAN FRANCISCO
GIANTSSF
4-1 | Road
6
HOUSTON
ASTROSHOU
2-3 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Camilo Doval
#57 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Jeremy Pena
#3 | Shortstop| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camilo Doval | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
| Jeremy Pena | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
0.00
ERA
--
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
--
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
GIANTS
0%
ASTROS
100%
GIANTS
--
ASTROS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.9
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.9 points (San Francisco)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around SF -1.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SF)
SF By 1-2 runs
19.6%
SF By 3-4 runs
18.3%
HOU By 1-2 runs
13.7%
HOU By 3-4 runs
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
San Francisco
4.56
SAN FRANCISCO
Houston
2.62
HOUSTON
Simulated Score
San Francisco
4
SAN FRANCISCO
Houston
5
HOUSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Giants
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Astros
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Giants (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.9
D
Sim
Astros (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 12, 2026
HOU @ SF
2 - 1
Aug 11, 2026
HOU @ SF
1 - 4
Aug 10, 2026
HOU @ SF
6 - 3
Apr 2, 2025
SF @ HOU
6 - 3
Apr 1, 2025
SF @ HOU
3 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
San Francisco
SF
vs
Houston
HOU
162
▲
Games Played
2
4.13
▲
Runs / Game
3.00
.245
▲
Avg (AVG)
.169
.306
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.229
.400
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.354
.706
▲
OPS
.582
178
▲
Home Runs
4
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+97.8% more
San Francisco: 178.0
vs
Houston: 4.0
Home Runs (L5)
+54.2% more
San Francisco: 1.2
vs
Houston: 0.5
Total Bases (L5)
+37.2% more
San Francisco: 12.1
vs
Houston: 7.6
Runs per Game (Season)
+27.4% more
San Francisco: 4.1
vs
Houston: 3.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SF Score
4.6
6
HOU Score
2.6
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.5 / 0.0
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
5.5 / 6.7
7.0 / 6.0
Home Runs
0.5 / 1.2
0.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts
10.9 / 8.0
16.0 / 14.0
Total Bases
7.6 / 12.1
7.0 / 16.0
Walks
4.3 / 2.0
5.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SF
65-97-0
(40.1%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
HOU
Advantage
81-83-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SF
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
HOU
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
HOU
81-74-9
O: 52.3% / U: 47.7%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOU
SF
HOU
SF
ML
50%
81-82
49%
79-81
47%
77-87
53%
85-75
ATS
56%
91-72
62%
100-60
55%
90-74
52%
83-77
TTL
45%
70-84-9
55%
82-68-10
45%
69-86-9
46%
68-81-11
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