TORONTO
RAPTORSTOR
28-47 | Road
118
CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
33-42 | Home
137
AI Model Win Probability
RAPTORS
0%
BULLS
100%
RAPTORS
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
232.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.3
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.3 points (Toronto)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TOR -1.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)
TOR By 1-7 points
26.4%
TOR By 8-14 points
17.4%
CHI By 1-7 points
23.9%
CHI By 8-14 points
13.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Toronto
117.03
TORONTO
Chicago
115.75
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Toronto
118
TORONTO
Chicago
112
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Raptors
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Raptors
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Raptors (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.3
D
Sim
Raptors (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 232.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 18, 2026
TOR @ CHI
139 - 109
Feb 19, 2026
TOR @ CHI
110 - 101
Feb 5, 2026
CHI @ TOR
107 - 123
Apr 1, 2025
TOR @ CHI
118 - 137
Feb 28, 2025
TOR @ CHI
115 - 125
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+21.4% more
Toronto: 8.7
vs
Chicago: 6.8
Turnovers (L5)
+39.9% more
Chicago: 16.4
vs
Toronto: 11.7
Blocks (L5)
+14.1% more
Chicago: 4.7
vs
Toronto: 4.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.2%
Chicago: 78.1%
vs
Toronto: 71.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOR Score
117.0
118
CHI Score
115.8
137
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.6 / 35.6
41.2 / 44.4
Assists
31.0 / 30.1
36.0 / 35.0
Blocks
4.7 / 4.1
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
47.7 / 44.5
56.8 / 45.4
Free Throw %
78.1 / 71.9
85.2 / 90.9
Rebounding
46.5 / 49.8
49.0 / 35.0
Steals
6.8 / 8.7
10.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
16.4 / 11.7
12.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TOR
Advantage
49-40-0
(55.1%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TOR
Advantage
46-43-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
CHI
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4%
Total +/-: -1.8
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
TOR
CHI
TOR
ML
56%
54-42
55%
57-47
57%
46-35
55%
48-39
ATS
65%
62-33-1
61%
62-40-2
57%
46-35
55%
48-39
TTL
58%
56-40
60%
62-42
100%
81-0
100%
87-0
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