BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
55-19 | Road
117
MEMPHIS
GRIZZLIESMEM
44-30 | Home
103
AI Model Win Probability
CELTICS
0%
GRIZZLIES
100%
CELTICS
--
GRIZZLIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
240.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.1
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.1 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BOS -8.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
BOS By 1-7 points
25.2%
BOS By 8-14 points
26.3%
MEM By 1-7 points
13.5%
MEM By 8-14 points
4.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
124.36
BOSTON
Memphis
116.25
MEMPHIS
Simulated Score
Boston
118
BOSTON
Memphis
115
MEMPHIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Celtics
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Celtics
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Celtics (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.1
D
Sim
Celtics (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 240.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 233.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 20, 2026
BOS @ MEM
117 - 112
Nov 12, 2025
MEM @ BOS
95 - 131
Oct 8, 2025
BOS @ MEM
121 - 103
Mar 31, 2025
BOS @ MEM
117 - 103
Dec 7, 2024
MEM @ BOS
127 - 121
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+18.1% more
Boston: 5.1
vs
Memphis: 4.2
Rebounding (L5)
+12.1% more
Boston: 48.0
vs
Memphis: 42.2
Steals (L5)
+31.8% more
Memphis: 8.1
vs
Boston: 6.1
Turnovers (L5)
+21.7% more
Memphis: 13.1
vs
Boston: 10.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
124.4
117
MEM Score
116.3
103
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.3 / 37.4
25.0 / 33.9
Assists
30.7 / 30.3
21.0 / 30.0
Blocks
4.2 / 5.1
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
48.0 / 48.5
44.6 / 40.6
Free Throw %
82.4 / 78.7
62.5 / 94.7
Rebounding
42.2 / 48.0
45.0 / 54.0
Steals
8.1 / 6.1
9.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
13.1 / 10.8
11.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BOS
Advantage
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
MEM
25-57-0
(30.5%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BOS
Advantage
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
MEM
37-45-0
(45.1%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
MEM
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MEM
BOS
MEM
BOS
ML
57%
59-44
57%
61-46
50%
41-41
53%
47-41
ATS
63%
65-38
59%
61-43-3
50%
41-41
53%
47-41
TTL
70%
71-31-1
56%
60-47
100%
82-0
100%
88-0
Contextual Game News
Boston Celtics' Young Wings Face Huge Opportunity After Jaylen B…
Desmond Bane Returns to FedExForum as Grizzlies Host Magic in Pr…
Cavs 2026-27 Viewing Guide: DAZN, National TV, and Free Over-the…
Providence Basketball Awaits NCAA Eligibility Verdicts for Dink …
Zach Edey to Sit Out Grizzlies' Preseason Opener vs. Hawks, Team…