BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
24-51 | Road
113
DALLAS
MAVERICKSDAL
37-38 | Home
109
AI Model Win Probability
NETS
100%
MAVERICKS
0%
NETS
--
MAVERICKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
220.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.5
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.5 points (Dallas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DAL -5.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)
BKN By 1-7 points
17.8%
BKN By 8-14 points
7.5%
DAL By 1-7 points
27.1%
DAL By 8-14 points
23.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Brooklyn
107.7
BROOKLYN
Dallas
113.15
DALLAS
Simulated Score
Brooklyn
118
BROOKLYN
Dallas
122
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mavericks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mavericks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Mavericks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.5
D
Sim
Mavericks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 220.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 240.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 24, 2026
DAL @ BKN
123 - 114
Jan 12, 2026
BKN @ DAL
105 - 113
Dec 12, 2025
BKN @ DAL
111 - 119
Mar 31, 2025
BKN @ DAL
113 - 109
Mar 24, 2025
DAL @ BKN
120 - 101
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+49.2% more
Dallas: 9.0
vs
Brooklyn: 6.0
Field Goal % (L5)
+8.1%
Dallas: 49.7%
vs
Brooklyn: 41.7%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.5%
Dallas: 36.1%
vs
Brooklyn: 32.6%
Turnovers (L5)
+24.2% more
Brooklyn: 15.5
vs
Dallas: 11.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BKN Score
107.7
113
DAL Score
113.2
109
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.1 / 32.6
33.3 / 39.2
Assists
24.9 / 24.3
29.0 / 32.0
Blocks
4.2 / 4.1
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
49.7 / 41.7
47.7 / 43.3
Free Throw %
78.2 / 81.7
58.6 / 75.0
Rebounding
39.6 / 44.8
49.0 / 40.0
Steals
9.0 / 6.0
4.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
11.8 / 15.5
10.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
DAL
Advantage
26-56-0
(31.7%)
Margin: -5.5
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN
Advantage
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
DAL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -5.5
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
DAL
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
BKN
DAL
BKN
ML
62%
63-39
53%
50-45
54%
44-37
59%
48-34
ATS
67%
68-34
52%
48-44-3
54%
44-37
59%
48-34
TTL
59%
60-41-1
57%
54-41
100%
81-0
100%
82-0
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