LOS ANGELES
ANGELSLAA
2-1 | Road
5
ST. LOUIS
CARDINALSSTL
3-0 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Ryan Johnson
#32 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Masyn Winn
#0 | Shortstop| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Johnson | None-None | 16.88 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Masyn Winn | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
16.88
ERA
--
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
1
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
100%
CARDINALS
0%
ANGELS
--
CARDINALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
ST. LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (St. Louis)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around STL -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STL)
LAA By 1-2 runs
18.0%
LAA By 3-4 runs
12.9%
STL By 1-2 runs
18.8%
STL By 3-4 runs
14.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
4.02
LOS ANGELES
St. Louis
4.26
ST. LOUIS
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
5
LOS ANGELES
St. Louis
4
ST. LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cardinals
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Angels
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Cardinals (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.2
D
Sim
Angels (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 22, 2026
STL @ LAA
1 - 0
Jul 21, 2026
STL @ LAA
1 - 5
Jul 20, 2026
STL @ LAA
2 - 3
Apr 2, 2025
LAA @ STL
5 - 12
Apr 1, 2025
LAA @ STL
9 - 7
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAA
vs
St. Louis
STL
162
Games Played
162
4.04
Runs / Game
▲
4.44
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲
.239
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.313
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.378
.679
OPS
▲
.691
154
Home Runs
▲
167
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+93.0% more
St. Louis: 1.6
vs
Los Angeles: 0.7
Total Bases (L5)
+78.3% more
St. Louis: 17.2
vs
Los Angeles: 9.7
Hits (L5)
+49.3% more
St. Louis: 10.1
vs
Los Angeles: 6.7
Errors (L5)
+10.0% more
St. Louis: 0.5
vs
Los Angeles: 0.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAA Score
4.0
5
STL Score
4.3
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.5 / 0.4
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
10.1 / 6.7
11.0 / 4.0
Home Runs
1.6 / 0.7
2.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
6.1 / 6.4
10.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
17.2 / 9.7
18.0 / 6.0
Walks
1.6 / 3.0
5.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0
(38.3%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
STL
Advantage
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
STL
Advantage
(53.7%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
STL
74-80-8
O: 48.1% / U: 51.9%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STL
LAA
STL
LAA
ML
53%
85-74
59%
96-66
52%
84-77
55%
89-73
ATS
56%
89-70
60%
97-65
53%
85-76
51%
82-80
TTL
46%
68-81-10
53%
83-74-5
50%
76-75-10
52%
82-75-5
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