LA
CLIPPERSLAC
42-31 | Road
122
CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
59-15 | Home
127
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
100%
CAVALIERS
0%
CLIPPERS
--
CAVALIERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
242.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CLE -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
LAC By 1-7 points
21.6%
LAC By 8-14 points
10.7%
CLE By 1-7 points
27.2%
CLE By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
LA
119.66
LA
Cleveland
122.67
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
LA
118
LA
Cleveland
112
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cavaliers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Clippers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Cavaliers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Clippers (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 242.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 4, 2026
CLE @ LAC
124 - 91
Nov 23, 2025
LAC @ CLE
105 - 120
Mar 30, 2025
LAC @ CLE
122 - 127
Mar 18, 2025
CLE @ LAC
119 - 132
Apr 7, 2024
CLE @ LAC
118 - 120
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+14.8% more
Cleveland: 13.2
vs
LA: 11.5
Blocks (L5)
+30.9% more
LA: 6.1
vs
Cleveland: 4.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+11.1%
LA: 47.3%
vs
Cleveland: 36.2%
Assists (L5)
+9.1% more
LA: 27.0
vs
Cleveland: 24.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAC Score
119.7
122
CLE Score
122.7
127
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.2 / 47.3
33.3 / 39.0
Assists
24.5 / 27.0
33.0 / 25.0
Blocks
4.2 / 6.1
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
47.8 / 52.1
50.5 / 48.4
Free Throw %
77.8 / 84.4
78.3 / 72.7
Rebounding
45.3 / 46.7
45.0 / 44.0
Steals
7.7 / 7.9
11.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
13.2 / 11.5
10.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
CLE
Advantage
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
LAC
CLE
LAC
ML
60%
69-46
60%
59-40
56%
55-44
55%
45-37
ATS
67%
75-37-3
66%
65-33-1
56%
55-44
55%
45-37
TTL
59%
68-47
59%
58-40-1
100%
99-0
100%
82-0
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