TORONTO
RAPTORSTOR
27-47 | Road
127
PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
23-51 | Home
109
AI Model Win Probability
RAPTORS
100%
76ERS
0%
RAPTORS
--
76ERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
218.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.4
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.4 points (Philadelphia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PHI -2.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
TOR By 1-7 points
22.5%
TOR By 8-14 points
11.6%
PHI By 1-7 points
27.0%
PHI By 8-14 points
19.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Toronto
108.13
TORONTO
Philadelphia
110.53
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Toronto
112
TORONTO
Philadelphia
118
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
76ers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
76ers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
76ers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -2.4
D
Sim
76ers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 218.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 12, 2026
PHI @ TOR
115 - 102
Jan 11, 2026
PHI @ TOR
115 - 116
Nov 19, 2025
TOR @ PHI
121 - 112
Nov 8, 2025
TOR @ PHI
120 - 130
Mar 30, 2025
TOR @ PHI
127 - 109
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+34.4% more
Philadelphia: 5.6
vs
Toronto: 4.2
Turnovers (L5)
+9.3% more
Philadelphia: 13.2
vs
Toronto: 12.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.5%
Philadelphia: 35.7%
vs
Toronto: 31.1%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.0%
Philadelphia: 46.0%
vs
Toronto: 42.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOR Score
108.1
127
PHI Score
110.5
109
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.7 / 31.1
27.6 / 44.7
Assists
24.3 / 29.2
25.0 / 32.0
Blocks
5.6 / 4.2
10.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
46.0 / 42.9
47.2 / 47.6
Free Throw %
67.2 / 74.6
89.5 / 66.7
Rebounding
39.2 / 51.7
46.0 / 46.0
Steals
8.2 / 8.0
6.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
13.2 / 12.1
18.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TOR
Advantage
49-40-0
(55.1%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TOR
46-43-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4%
Total +/-: -1.8
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
TOR
PHI
TOR
ML
63%
69-40
55%
57-47
48%
45-48
55%
48-39
ATS
65%
71-38
61%
62-40-2
48%
45-48
55%
48-39
TTL
55%
60-49
60%
62-42
100%
93-0
100%
87-0
Contextual Game News
Matt Barnes: Clippers Are Cursed, Urges Steve Ballmer to Rebrand
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
Boston Celtics' Young Wings Face Huge Opportunity After Jaylen B…
Phillies' 2027 Forecast: Four Farmhands Ready to Step Up
Chicago Bulls Edge Phoenix Suns 124-117 in Preseason Opener