Home / NHL Projections NHL / Islanders @ Hurricanes NYI @ CAR

NEW YORK

ISLANDERSNYI

32-30-10  |  Road

4
FINAL
Sun, Mar 30 • 5:00 PM ET
Lenovo Center
View Odds Details →

CAROLINA

HURRICANESCAR

44-24-4  |  Home

6
Goaltending
Marcus Hogberg
GOALTENDER

Marcus Hogberg

#50 | G
@
Pyotr Kochetkov
GOALTENDER

Pyotr Kochetkov

#52 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Marcus Hogberg None-None 6.19 0.800 --
Pyotr Kochetkov None-None 4.00 0.871 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
6.19 GAA Ldr 4.00
0.800 Save % Ldr 0.871
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
100%
📊
HURRICANES
0%
ISLANDERS --
HURRICANES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.3
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.3 points (Carolina)
IslandersNYI (-3.5) 0 HurricanesCAR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Islanders Cover

25.8%

Hurricanes Cover

74.2%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CAR -1.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)

NYI By 1 goal

10.3%

NYI By 2-3 goals

7.3%

CAR By 1 goal

19.5%

CAR By 2-3 goals

32.5%

AI Model Projected Score
2.37
NEW YORK
3.67
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
2
NEW YORK
3
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Hurricanes Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hurricanes Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Hurricanes (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.3
D
Sim Hurricanes (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 14, 2026 CAR @ NYI 2 - 1
Apr 4, 2026 NYI @ CAR 3 - 4
Oct 30, 2025 NYI @ CAR 2 - 6
Mar 30, 2025 NYI @ CAR 4 - 6
Jan 25, 2025 CAR @ NYI 2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +3.3%
Carolina: 24.9% vs New York: 21.6%
Hits (L5) +50.9% more
New York: 24.9 vs Carolina: 12.3
Blocked Shots (L5) +41.3% more
New York: 15.9 vs Carolina: 9.4
Faceoff % (L5) +2.0%
New York: 53.8% vs Carolina: 51.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NYI Score 2.4 4
CAR Score 3.7 6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 9.4 / 15.9 11.0 / 9.0
Faceoff % 51.9 / 53.8 42.6 / 57.4
Hits 12.3 / 24.9 8.0 / 23.0
Power Play % 24.9 / 21.6 25.0 / 20.0
Shots on Goal 30.7 / 32.7 30.0 / 31.0
Takeaways 6.2 / 5.9 12.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
7%TICKETS93%
21%MONEY79%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
23%TICKETS77%
19%MONEY81%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
78%MONEY22%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
NYI
CAR
NYI
ML
80% 4-1
75% 3-1
40% 2-3
50% 2-2
ATS
60% 3-2
50% 2-2
80% 4-1
25% 1-3
TTL
0% 0-5
67% 2-1-1
20% 1-4
100% 3-0-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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