Home / NHL Projections NHL / Bruins @ Red Wings BOS @ DET

BOSTON

BRUINSBOS

30-34-9  |  Road

1
FINAL
Sat, Mar 29 • 8:00 PM ET
Little Caesars Arena
View Odds Details →

DETROIT

RED WINGSDET

33-33-6  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Jeremy Swayman
GOALTENDER

Jeremy Swayman

#1 | Goaltender
@
Moritz Seider
GOALTENDER

Moritz Seider

#53 | Defense
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Jeremy Swayman None-None 2.07 0.909 --
Moritz Seider None-None -- -- --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
2.07 GAA --
0.909 Save % --
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
100%
📊
RED WINGS
0%
BRUINS --
RED WINGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 points (Detroit)
BruinsBOS (-3.5) 0 Red WingsDET (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bruins Cover

43.8%

Red Wings Cover

56.2%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around DET -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)

BOS By 1 goal

16.0%

BOS By 2-3 goals

15.4%

DET By 1 goal

18.6%

DET By 2-3 goals

22.1%

AI Model Projected Score
2.21
BOSTON
2.52
DETROIT
Simulated Score
4
BOSTON
2
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Red Wings Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bruins Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Red Wings (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -0.3
D
Sim Bruins (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 4.7
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 21, 2026 BOS @ DET 4 - 2
Jan 13, 2026 DET @ BOS 0 - 3
Dec 2, 2025 BOS @ DET 4 - 5
Nov 29, 2025 DET @ BOS 2 - 3
Mar 29, 2025 BOS @ DET 1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +31.2% more
Detroit: 27.1 vs Boston: 20.6
Takeaways (L5) +24.2% more
Detroit: 3.8 vs Boston: 3.0
Power Play % (L5) +20.8%
Detroit: 28.1% vs Boston: 7.4%
Blocked Shots (L5) +17.5% more
Detroit: 17.3 vs Boston: 14.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BOS Score 2.2 1
DET Score 2.5 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 17.3 / 14.7 7.0 / 9.0
Faceoff % 45.3 / 52.5 51.0 / 49.0
Hits 24.0 / 21.1 38.0 / 39.0
Power Play % 28.1 / 7.4 33.3 / 100.0
Shots on Goal 27.1 / 20.6 22.0 / 21.0
Takeaways 3.8 / 3.0 6.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
20%TICKETS80%
35%MONEY65%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
11%MONEY89%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
64%MONEY36%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
BOS
DET
BOS
ML
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
ATS
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
TTL
0% 0-3
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
0% 0-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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