CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
59-14 | Road
122
DETROIT
PISTONSDET
41-32 | Home
133
AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
0%
PISTONS
100%
CAVALIERS
--
PISTONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
239.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CLE -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
CLE By 1-7 points
26.9%
CLE By 8-14 points
18.6%
DET By 1-7 points
23.0%
DET By 8-14 points
12.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
120.5
CLEVELAND
Detroit
118.46
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Cleveland
118
CLEVELAND
Detroit
105
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cavaliers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cavaliers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cavaliers (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim
Cavaliers (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 239.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 17, 2026
CLE @ DET
125 - 94
May 15, 2026
DET @ CLE
115 - 94
May 13, 2026
CLE @ DET
117 - 113
May 11, 2026
DET @ CLE
103 - 112
May 9, 2026
DET @ CLE
109 - 116
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+12.2% more
Cleveland: 47.5
vs
Detroit: 41.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.0%
Cleveland: 78.5%
vs
Detroit: 75.5%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.7%
Detroit: 43.2%
vs
Cleveland: 35.6%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.3%
Detroit: 52.8%
vs
Cleveland: 48.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
120.5
122
DET Score
118.5
133
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
43.2 / 35.6
44.1 / 37.5
Assists
28.4 / 28.8
25.0 / 16.0
Blocks
5.0 / 4.8
5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
52.8 / 48.5
47.8 / 46.4
Free Throw %
75.5 / 78.5
85.7 / 76.3
Rebounding
41.7 / 47.5
43.0 / 41.0
Steals
7.5 / 7.1
8.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
11.7 / 12.4
13.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
DET
Advantage
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
CLE
DET
CLE
ML
55%
64-53
60%
69-46
49%
47-49
56%
55-44
ATS
53%
60-54-3
67%
75-37-3
49%
47-49
56%
55-44
TTL
60%
70-46-1
59%
68-47
100%
96-0
100%
99-0
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